Madrid ATP · CLAY

Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar prediction

23 April 2026 · Final

FINAL RESULTMatch finished
Marco Trungelliti — Flashscore photo

Marco Trungelliti

ARG

Age 36

Overall Elo
1650.0
Hard Elo
—
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Daniel Merida Aguilar — Flashscore photo

Daniel Merida Aguilar

ESP

Age 22

Overall Elo
1890.0
Hard Elo
—
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar prediction, H2H and odds

The match has finished. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar statistical comparison

Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida Aguilar are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, clay-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD24–21Marco Trungelliti
RECENT FORM2–2Marco Trungelliti · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Daniel Merida Aguilar · last 5
2026 RECORD33–17Daniel Merida Aguilar
Marco Trungelliti1626.2Clay Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP186.4between the players
Daniel Merida Aguilar1812.6Clay Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Marco TrungellitiPendingMarket odds
Daniel Merida Aguilar1.76Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Marco Trungelliti recent form

  1. –(1) Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaro [ITA]12-Oct-2026 · Maia CH · Clay · QF—
  2. W(1) Trungelliti d. (Q) Milos Karol [SVK]12-Oct-2026 · Maia CH · Clay · R166-2 6-0
  3. W(1) Trungelliti d. Thiago Monteiro [BRA]12-Oct-2026 · Maia CH · Clay · R324-6 6-1 6-4
  4. L(Q) Rei Sakamoto [JPN] d. Trungelliti07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-3 7-5
  5. LAlex Molcan [SVK] d. Trungelliti30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · Q26-4 7-5
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Daniel Merida Aguilar recent form

  1. LBotic Van De Zandschulp [NED] d. Merida Aguilar07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1281-6 6-3 6-4
  2. WMerida Aguilar d. Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]19-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup QLS R2: ESP vs CHI · Clay · RR5-7 6-3 6-3
  3. LAlex Michelsen [USA] d. Merida Aguilar31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R327-6(5) 6-4 6-3
  4. WMerida Aguilar d. (23) Andrey Rublev [RUS]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R646-7(3) 6-2 6-4 6-4
  5. WMerida Aguilar d. Marton Fucsovics [HUN]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1286-4 6-4 6-2
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar statistical comparison

Marco Trungelliti has a 53.3% win rate across 45 2026 matches. Daniel Merida Aguilar has a 66.0% win rate across 50 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Marco Trungelliti is 2–2 and Daniel Merida Aguilar is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Marco Trungelliti records 81.0% of service games held and 63.5% of service points won. Daniel Merida Aguilar records 75.6% of service games held and 61.4% of service points won.

On return, Marco Trungelliti records 22.8% of return games broken and 37.9% of return points won. Daniel Merida Aguilar records 32.0% of return games broken and 41.4% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 5.2% for Marco Trungelliti and 4.0% for Daniel Merida Aguilar.

Daniel Merida Aguilar holds the higher verified clay-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 186.4 points. The rating baseline converts to 25.5% for Marco Trungelliti and 74.5% for Daniel Merida Aguilar before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Clay-court matchup factors

Marco Trungelliti enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (81.0% versus 75.6%). Daniel Merida Aguilar has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (32.0% versus 22.8%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, Clay Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.