Rafael Jodar
ESP
Age 20
Madrid ATP · CLAY
Rafael Jodar vs Alex De Minaur prediction
24 April 2026 · Final
Alex De Minaur
AUS
Age 27
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Rafael Jodar vs Alex De Minaur prediction, H2H and odds
The match has finished. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.
Rafael Jodar vs Alex De Minaur statistical comparison
Rafael Jodar and Alex De Minaur are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, clay-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Rafael Jodar1940.9Clay Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP63.2between the players
Alex De Minaur1877.7Clay Elo
RAFAEL JODAR PROFILERafael Jodar
View full profileESP · Age 20 · Rank 13
- Hold
- 81.5%
- Break
- 28.7%
- Aces
- 5.4%
- Return points
- 40.2%
ALEX DE MINAUR PROFILEAlex De Minaur
View full profileAUS · Age 27 · Right-handed · 183 cm · Rank 9
- Hold
- 81.8%
- Break
- 26.3%
- Aces
- 5.5%
- Return points
- 39.5%
Market prices for Rafael Jodar vs Alex De Minaur
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Rafael Jodar recent form
- –(12) Jodar vs (5) Daniil Medvedev [RUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · SF—
- W(12) Jodar d. (20) Casper Ruud [NOR]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · QF4-6 6-4 6-3
- W(12) Jodar d. Botic Van De Zandschulp [NED]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R166-7(4) 6-4 6-2
- W(12) Jodar d. (22) Jiri Lehecka [CZE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R324-6 7-6(2) 6-4
- W(12) Jodar d. Thiago Agustin Tirante [ARG]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 6-2 6-3
Alex De Minaur recent form
- L(1) Alexander Zverev [GER] d. (9) De Minaur07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · QF6-4 6-4
- W(9) De Minaur d. (26) Karen Khachanov [RUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R166-3 6-4
- W(9) De Minaur d. (Q) Rei Sakamoto [JPN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-6(6) 6-4
- W(9) De Minaur d. Alex Molcan [SVK]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R64W/O
- L(6) Novak Djokovic [SRB] d. (5) De Minaur30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · F7-6(3) 0-1 RET
Rafael Jodar vs Alex De Minaur statistical comparison
Rafael Jodar has a 71.9% win rate across 64 2026 matches. Alex De Minaur has a 68.8% win rate across 64 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Rafael Jodar is 4–0 and Alex De Minaur is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Rafael Jodar records 81.5% of service games held and 64.0% of service points won. Alex De Minaur records 81.8% of service games held and 64.5% of service points won.
On return, Rafael Jodar records 28.7% of return games broken and 40.2% of return points won. Alex De Minaur records 26.3% of return games broken and 39.5% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 5.4% for Rafael Jodar and 5.5% for Alex De Minaur.
Rafael Jodar holds the higher verified clay-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 63.2 points. The rating baseline converts to 59.0% for Rafael Jodar and 41.0% for Alex De Minaur before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Clay-court matchup factors
Alex De Minaur enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (81.8% versus 81.5%). Rafael Jodar has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.7% versus 26.3%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Rafael Jodar vs Alex De Minaur prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, Clay Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Rafael Jodar vs Alex De Minaur H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.