Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
NOR
Age 20
Madrid ATP · CLAY
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Denis Shapovalov prediction
25 April 2026 · Final
Denis Shapovalov
CAN
Age 27
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Denis Shapovalov prediction, H2H and odds
The match has finished. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Denis Shapovalov statistical comparison
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Denis Shapovalov are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, clay-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer1537.0Clay Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP162.0between the players
Denis Shapovalov1699.0Clay Elo
NICOLAI BUDKOV KJAER PROFILENicolai Budkov Kjaer
View full profileNOR · Age 20 · Right-handed · 188 cm · Rank 152
- Hold
- 74.7%
- Break
- 23.4%
- Aces
- 6.3%
- Return points
- 36.7%
DENIS SHAPOVALOV PROFILEDenis Shapovalov
View full profileCAN · Age 27 · Left-handed · 185 cm · Rank 42
- Hold
- 77.7%
- Break
- 22.8%
- Aces
- 10.1%
- Return points
- 37.2%
Market prices for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Denis Shapovalov
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer recent form
- –(6) Budkov Kjaer vs (1) Hugo Gaston [FRA]12-Oct-2026 · Roanne CH · Hard · QF—
- W(6) Budkov Kjaer d. Moise Kouame [FRA]12-Oct-2026 · Roanne CH · Hard · R166-4 6-2
- W(6) Budkov Kjaer d. (Q) Jakub Paul [SUI]12-Oct-2026 · Roanne CH · Hard · R326-4 7-5
- LFelix Balshaw [FRA] d. (2) Budkov Kjaer28-Sep-2026 · Mouilleron le Captif CH · Hard · R167-5 4-6 7-6(5)
- W(2) Budkov Kjaer d. (Q) Yanis Ghazouani Durand [FRA]28-Sep-2026 · Mouilleron le Captif CH · Hard · R326-3 6-2
Denis Shapovalov recent form
- L(1) Carlos Alcaraz [ESP] d. Shapovalov30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · QF7-6(3) 2-1 RET
- WShapovalov d. Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R167-5 3-6 6-4
- WShapovalov d. (WC) Sho Shimabukuro [JPN]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R327-5 6-1
- L(5) Hubert Hurkacz [POL] d. (7) Shapovalov23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · SF6-7(8) 6-3 6-3
- W(7) Shapovalov d. Adrian Mannarino [FRA]23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · QF6-7(6) 6-3 6-2
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Denis Shapovalov statistical comparison
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has a 44.7% win rate across 38 2026 matches. Denis Shapovalov has a 51.2% win rate across 41 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 3–1 and Denis Shapovalov is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer records 74.7% of service games held and 61.8% of service points won. Denis Shapovalov records 77.7% of service games held and 63.3% of service points won.
On return, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer records 23.4% of return games broken and 36.7% of return points won. Denis Shapovalov records 22.8% of return games broken and 37.2% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 6.3% for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and 10.1% for Denis Shapovalov.
Denis Shapovalov holds the higher verified clay-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 162.0 points. The rating baseline converts to 28.2% for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and 71.8% for Denis Shapovalov before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Clay-court matchup factors
Denis Shapovalov enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (77.7% versus 74.7%). Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (23.4% versus 22.8%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Denis Shapovalov prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, Clay Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Denis Shapovalov H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.