Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso prediction

Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso statistical comparison

Matteo Arnaldi has a 50.0% win rate across 32 2026 matches. Gianluca Cadenasso has a 51.6% win rate across 31 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Matteo Arnaldi is 2–3 and Gianluca Cadenasso is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Matteo Arnaldi records 70.9% of service games held and 59.8% of service points won. Gianluca Cadenasso records 69.0% of service games held and 60.0% of service points won.

On return, Matteo Arnaldi records 23.1% of return games broken and 37.6% of return points won. Gianluca Cadenasso records 35.8% of return games broken and 43.7% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 5.7% for Matteo Arnaldi and 3.9% for Gianluca Cadenasso.

Matteo Arnaldi holds the higher verified clay-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 341.0 points. The rating baseline converts to 87.7% for Matteo Arnaldi and 12.3% for Gianluca Cadenasso before any separate market or contextual assessment.

Clay-court matchup factors

Matteo Arnaldi enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (70.9% versus 69.0%). Gianluca Cadenasso has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (35.8% versus 23.1%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.