Sebastian Baez
ARG
Age 25
Valencia Challenger · CLAY
Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction
14 May 2026 · Final
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Age 35
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction, H2H and odds
The match has finished. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.
Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta statistical comparison
Sebastian Baez and Pablo Carreno Busta are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, clay-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Sebastian Baez1718.5Clay Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP24.5between the players
Pablo Carreno Busta1743.0Clay Elo
SEBASTIAN BAEZ PROFILESebastian Baez
View full profileARG · Age 25 · Right-handed · 170 cm · Rank 53
- Hold
- 75.0%
- Break
- 25.7%
- Aces
- 2.7%
- Return points
- 38.7%
PABLO CARRENO BUSTA PROFILEPablo Carreno Busta
View full profileESP · Age 35 · Right-handed · 188 cm · Rank 65
- Hold
- 75.7%
- Break
- 25.5%
- Aces
- 3.6%
- Return points
- 38.5%
Market prices for Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Sebastian Baez recent form
- L(17) Valentin Vacherot [MON] d. Baez07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 7-6(5)
- WBaez d. Marcos Giron [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1281-6 6-3 6-4
- L(WC) Juncheng Shang [CHN] d. Baez30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R325-7 6-3 7-5
- LJenson Brooksby [USA] d. (8) Baez23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · R327-5 7-5
- L(16) Brandon Nakashima [USA] d. Baez31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1286-2 6-1 6-0
Pablo Carreno Busta recent form
- L(4) Felix Auger Aliassime [CAN] d. Carreno Busta07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-3 4-6 6-1
- WCarreno Busta d. (29) Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 7-6(2) 6-4
- WCarreno Busta d. Mariano Navone [ARG]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1284-6 7-5 6-3
- L(3) Daniil Medvedev [RUS] d. (Q) Carreno Busta30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R326-4 6-2
- W(7) Carreno Busta d. Adrian Mannarino [FRA]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · Q26-3 6-4
Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta statistical comparison
Sebastian Baez has a 56.7% win rate across 60 2026 matches. Pablo Carreno Busta has a 54.8% win rate across 42 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Sebastian Baez is 1–4 and Pablo Carreno Busta is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Sebastian Baez records 75.0% of service games held and 61.6% of service points won. Pablo Carreno Busta records 75.7% of service games held and 61.6% of service points won.
On return, Sebastian Baez records 25.7% of return games broken and 38.7% of return points won. Pablo Carreno Busta records 25.5% of return games broken and 38.5% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 2.7% for Sebastian Baez and 3.6% for Pablo Carreno Busta.
Pablo Carreno Busta holds the higher verified clay-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 24.5 points. The rating baseline converts to 46.5% for Sebastian Baez and 53.5% for Pablo Carreno Busta before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Clay-court matchup factors
Pablo Carreno Busta enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (75.7% versus 75.0%). Sebastian Baez has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (25.7% versus 25.5%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, Clay Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.