Ilkley Challenger · GRASS

Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley prediction

9 June 2026 · Final

FINAL RESULTMatch finished
Luca Nardi — Flashscore photo

Luca Nardi

ITA

Age 23

Overall Elo
1560.0
Hard Elo
—
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Jacob Fearnley — Flashscore photo

Jacob Fearnley

GBR

Age 25

Overall Elo
1703.0
Hard Elo
—
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley prediction, H2H and odds

The match has finished. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley statistical comparison

Luca Nardi and Jacob Fearnley are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, grass-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD12–13Luca Nardi
RECENT FORM2–2Luca Nardi · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–1Jacob Fearnley · last 5
2026 RECORD22–20Jacob Fearnley
Luca Nardi1420.1Grass Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP247.3between the players
Jacob Fearnley1667.4Grass Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Luca Nardi2.30Market odds
Jacob FearnleyPendingMarket odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Luca Nardi recent form

  1. –Nardi vs (4) Michael Mmoh [USA]12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · QF—
  2. WNardi d. (WC) Lorenzo Carboni [ITA]12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · R166-4 6-1
  3. WNardi d. August Holmgren [DEN]12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · R324-6 6-4 6-4
  4. L(5) Pablo Llamas Ruiz [ESP] d. (Alt) Nardi05-Oct-2026 · Villena CH · Hard · R326-1 7-6(5)
  5. LFederico Cina [ITA] d. Nardi31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · Q16-4 3-0 RET
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Jacob Fearnley recent form

  1. –(1) Fearnley vs Maxim Mrva [CZE]12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · QF—
  2. W(1) Fearnley d. Jan Kumstat [CZE]12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · R166-4 6-3
  3. W(1) Fearnley d. (Q) George Loffhagen [GBR]12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · R326-1 6-3
  4. L(Alt) Inaki Montes De La Torre [ESP] d. (2) Fearnley28-Sep-2026 · Porto Monte Aventino CH · Hard · R167-6(4) 3-0 RET
  5. W(2) Fearnley d. (LL) Alejo Sanchez Quilez [ESP]28-Sep-2026 · Porto Monte Aventino CH · Hard · R326-1 6-2
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley statistical comparison

Luca Nardi has a 48.0% win rate across 25 2026 matches. Jacob Fearnley has a 52.4% win rate across 42 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Luca Nardi is 2–2 and Jacob Fearnley is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Luca Nardi records 77.5% of service games held and 62.2% of service points won. Jacob Fearnley records 73.3% of service games held and 60.7% of service points won.

On return, Luca Nardi records 26.1% of return games broken and 39.2% of return points won. Jacob Fearnley records 29.9% of return games broken and 40.8% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 4.5% for Luca Nardi and 6.1% for Jacob Fearnley.

Jacob Fearnley holds the higher verified grass-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 247.3 points. The rating baseline converts to 19.4% for Luca Nardi and 80.6% for Jacob Fearnley before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Grass-court matchup factors

Luca Nardi enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (77.5% versus 73.3%). Jacob Fearnley has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (29.9% versus 26.1%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, Grass Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.