Alex De Minaur
AUS
Age 27
ATP Washington · HARD
Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima prediction
31 July 2026 · Final
Brandon Nakashima
USA
Age 25
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima prediction, H2H and odds
The match has finished. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.
Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima statistical comparison
Alex De Minaur and Brandon Nakashima are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Alex De Minaur1943.5Hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP71.0between the players
Brandon Nakashima1872.5Hard Elo
ALEX DE MINAUR PROFILEAlex De Minaur
View full profileAUS · Age 27 · Right-handed · 183 cm · Rank 9
- Hold
- 81.9%
- Break
- 26.7%
- Aces
- 5.4%
- Return points
- 39.7%
BRANDON NAKASHIMA PROFILEBrandon Nakashima
View full profileUSA · Age 25 · Right-handed · 188 cm · Rank 19
- Hold
- 87.8%
- Break
- 18.9%
- Aces
- 12.9%
- Return points
- 34.8%
Market prices for Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Alex De Minaur recent form
- –(9) De Minaur vs (1) Alexander Zverev [GER]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · QF—
- W(9) De Minaur d. (26) Karen Khachanov [RUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R166-3 6-4
- W(9) De Minaur d. (Q) Rei Sakamoto [JPN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-6(6) 6-4
- W(9) De Minaur d. Alex Molcan [SVK]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R64W/O
- L(6) Novak Djokovic [SRB] d. (5) De Minaur30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · F7-6(3) 0-1 RET
Brandon Nakashima recent form
- L(19) Alexander Bublik [KAZ] d. (16) Nakashima07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-7(7) 6-3 7-6(5)
- W(16) Nakashima d. Matteo Berrettini [ITA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R647-6(4) 7-5
- LUgo Humbert [FRA] d. (5) Nakashima30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-3 6-2
- WNakashima d. Jakub Mensik [CZE]25-Sep-2026 · Laver Cup · Hard · RR6-1 3-6 [10-7]
- LAlex Michelsen [USA] d. (16) Nakashima31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R646-3 6-4 6-4
Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima statistical comparison
Alex De Minaur has a 68.8% win rate across 64 2026 matches. Brandon Nakashima has a 63.0% win rate across 54 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Alex De Minaur is 3–1 and Brandon Nakashima is 2–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Alex De Minaur records 81.9% of service games held and 64.5% of service points won. Brandon Nakashima records 87.8% of service games held and 68.9% of service points won.
On return, Alex De Minaur records 26.7% of return games broken and 39.7% of return points won. Brandon Nakashima records 18.9% of return games broken and 34.8% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 5.4% for Alex De Minaur and 12.9% for Brandon Nakashima.
Alex De Minaur holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 71.0 points. The rating baseline converts to 60.1% for Alex De Minaur and 39.9% for Brandon Nakashima before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Brandon Nakashima enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (87.8% versus 81.9%). Alex De Minaur has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (26.7% versus 18.9%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, Hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.