Arthur Gea
FRA
Age 21
ATP Los Cabos · HARD
Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov prediction
1 August 2026 · Final
Denis Shapovalov
CAN
Age 27
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov prediction, H2H and odds
The match has finished. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.
Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov statistical comparison
Arthur Gea and Denis Shapovalov are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Arthur Gea1784.6Hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP23.5between the players
Denis Shapovalov1808.1Hard Elo
ARTHUR GEA PROFILEArthur Gea
View full profileFRA · Age 21 · Right-handed · 180 cm · Rank 56
- Hold
- 81.2%
- Break
- 28.8%
- Aces
- 7.6%
- Return points
- 40.1%
DENIS SHAPOVALOV PROFILEDenis Shapovalov
View full profileCAN · Age 27 · Left-handed · 185 cm · Rank 42
- Hold
- 77.7%
- Break
- 22.8%
- Aces
- 10.1%
- Return points
- 37.2%
Market prices for Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Arthur Gea recent form
- –Gea vs (25) Alejandro Davidovich Fokina [ESP]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · QF—
- WGea d. (13) Jakub Mensik [CZE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R167-6(4) 6-4
- WGea d. (3) Ben Shelton [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-6(5) 7-6(3)
- WGea d. (30) Ugo Humbert [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 3-6 6-1
- WGea d. Jaime Faria [POR]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-7(3) 6-1 6-2
Denis Shapovalov recent form
- L(1) Carlos Alcaraz [ESP] d. Shapovalov30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · QF7-6(3) 2-1 RET
- WShapovalov d. Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R167-5 3-6 6-4
- WShapovalov d. (WC) Sho Shimabukuro [JPN]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R327-5 6-1
- L(5) Hubert Hurkacz [POL] d. (7) Shapovalov23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · SF6-7(8) 6-3 6-3
- W(7) Shapovalov d. Adrian Mannarino [FRA]23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · QF6-7(6) 6-3 6-2
Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov statistical comparison
Arthur Gea has a 73.1% win rate across 52 2026 matches. Denis Shapovalov has a 51.2% win rate across 41 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Arthur Gea is 4–0 and Denis Shapovalov is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Arthur Gea records 81.2% of service games held and 65.0% of service points won. Denis Shapovalov records 77.7% of service games held and 63.3% of service points won.
On return, Arthur Gea records 28.8% of return games broken and 40.1% of return points won. Denis Shapovalov records 22.8% of return games broken and 37.2% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 7.6% for Arthur Gea and 10.1% for Denis Shapovalov.
Denis Shapovalov holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 23.5 points. The rating baseline converts to 46.6% for Arthur Gea and 53.4% for Denis Shapovalov before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Arthur Gea enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (81.2% versus 77.7%). Arthur Gea has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.8% versus 22.8%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, Hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalov H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.