Cincinnati ATP · HARD

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic prediction

14 August 2026 · Final

FINAL RESULTMatch finished
Daniel Merida Aguilar — Flashscore photo

Daniel Merida Aguilar

ESP

Age 22

Overall Elo
1890.0
Hard Elo
—
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Marin Cilic — Flashscore photo

Marin Cilic

CRO

Age 38

Overall Elo
1789.0
Hard Elo
—
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic prediction, H2H and odds

The match has finished. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic statistical comparison

Daniel Merida Aguilar and Marin Cilic are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD33–17Daniel Merida Aguilar
RECENT FORM3–2Daniel Merida Aguilar · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM1–4Marin Cilic · last 5
2026 RECORD15–18Marin Cilic
Daniel Merida Aguilar1829.6Hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP79.9between the players
Marin Cilic1749.7Hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Daniel Merida Aguilar1.87Market odds
Marin CilicPendingMarket odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Daniel Merida Aguilar recent form

  1. LBotic Van De Zandschulp [NED] d. Merida Aguilar07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1281-6 6-3 6-4
  2. WMerida Aguilar d. Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]19-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup QLS R2: ESP vs CHI · Clay · RR5-7 6-3 6-3
  3. LAlex Michelsen [USA] d. Merida Aguilar31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R327-6(5) 6-4 6-3
  4. WMerida Aguilar d. (23) Andrey Rublev [RUS]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R646-7(3) 6-2 6-4 6-4
  5. WMerida Aguilar d. Marton Fucsovics [HUN]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1286-4 6-4 6-2
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Marin Cilic recent form

  1. L(Q) Yosuke Watanuki [JPN] d. (7) Cilic12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R167-5 6-4
  2. W(7) Cilic d. Adam Walton [AUS]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R326-3 3-6 6-1
  3. LArthur Fery [GBR] d. Cilic07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1287-6(2) 6-1
  4. LDaniel Merida Aguilar [ESP] d. (WC) Cilic13-Aug-2026 · Cincinnati Masters · Hard · R1283-6 6-1 6-1
  5. L(15) Frances Tiafoe [USA] d. Cilic02-Aug-2026 · Canada Masters · Hard · R645-7 6-2 6-2
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic statistical comparison

Daniel Merida Aguilar has a 66.0% win rate across 50 2026 matches. Marin Cilic has a 45.5% win rate across 33 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Daniel Merida Aguilar is 3–2 and Marin Cilic is 1–4. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Daniel Merida Aguilar records 75.6% of service games held and 61.4% of service points won. Marin Cilic records 81.6% of service games held and 65.3% of service points won.

On return, Daniel Merida Aguilar records 32.0% of return games broken and 41.4% of return points won. Marin Cilic records 17.7% of return games broken and 34.5% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 4.0% for Daniel Merida Aguilar and 12.4% for Marin Cilic.

Daniel Merida Aguilar holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 79.9 points. The rating baseline converts to 61.3% for Daniel Merida Aguilar and 38.7% for Marin Cilic before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Marin Cilic enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (81.6% versus 75.6%). Daniel Merida Aguilar has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (32.0% versus 17.7%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, Hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.