ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati (USA), hard · HARD

Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli prediction

20 August 2026 · Final

FINAL RESULTMatch finished
Tommy Paul — Flashscore photo

Tommy Paul

USA

Age 29

Overall Elo
1937.0
Hard Elo
—
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Flavio Cobolli — Flashscore photo

Flavio Cobolli

ITA

Age 24

Overall Elo
1890.0
Hard Elo
—
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli prediction, H2H and odds

The match has finished. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli statistical comparison

Tommy Paul and Flavio Cobolli are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD41–19Tommy Paul
RECENT FORM2–2Tommy Paul · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM1–4Flavio Cobolli · last 5
2026 RECORD34–22Flavio Cobolli
Tommy Paul1872.2hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP63.7between the players
Flavio Cobolli1808.5hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Tommy Paul2.17Market odds
Flavio CobolliPendingMarket odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Tommy Paul recent form

  1. –(15) Paul vs Zizou Bergs [BEL]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R16—
  2. W(15) Paul d. (17) Valentin Vacherot [MON]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-4 6-2
  3. W(15) Paul d. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo [PAR]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-2 6-2
  4. LAlejandro Tabilo [CHI] d. (7) Paul30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-1 6-2
  5. L(2) Carlos Alcaraz [ESP] d. (20) Paul31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R166-4 6-3 6-4
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Flavio Cobolli recent form

  1. LAdrian Mannarino [FRA] d. (6) Cobolli07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-1 4-6 6-3
  2. L(SE) Roman Safiullin [RUS] d. (4) Cobolli30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R326-3 6-2
  3. LLearner Tien [USA] d. Cobolli25-Sep-2026 · Laver Cup · Hard · RR6-3 2-6 [10-7]
  4. L(28) Alexander Blockx [BEL] d. (5) Cobolli31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R326-7(4) 6-3 6-0 6-3
  5. W(5) Cobolli d. (Q) Tristan Schoolkate [AUS]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R643-6 6-3 6-4 7-5
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli statistical comparison

Tommy Paul has a 68.3% win rate across 60 2026 matches. Flavio Cobolli has a 60.7% win rate across 56 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Tommy Paul is 2–2 and Flavio Cobolli is 1–4. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Tommy Paul records 84.5% of service games held and 66.7% of service points won. Flavio Cobolli records 78.0% of service games held and 62.6% of service points won.

On return, Tommy Paul records 24.7% of return games broken and 38.4% of return points won. Flavio Cobolli records 19.3% of return games broken and 35.9% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 8.3% for Tommy Paul and 7.8% for Flavio Cobolli.

Tommy Paul holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 63.7 points. The rating baseline converts to 59.1% for Tommy Paul and 40.9% for Flavio Cobolli before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Tommy Paul enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.5% versus 78.0%). Tommy Paul has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (24.7% versus 19.3%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.