CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2 (Mexico), hard · HARD

Sebastian Baez vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez prediction

21 August 2026 · Final

FINAL RESULTMatch finished
Sebastian Baez — Flashscore photo

Sebastian Baez

ARG

Age 25

Overall Elo
1740.0
Hard Elo
—
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez — Flashscore photo

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

MEX

Age 21

Overall Elo
1556.0
Hard Elo
—
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Sebastian Baez vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez prediction, H2H and odds

The match has finished. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Sebastian Baez vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez statistical comparison

Sebastian Baez and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD34–26Sebastian Baez
RECENT FORM1–4Sebastian Baez · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez · last 5
2026 RECORD27–18Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Sebastian Baez1684.2hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP149.7between the players
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez1534.5hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Sebastian Baez vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Sebastian Baez2.34Market odds
Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPendingMarket odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Sebastian Baez recent form

  1. L(17) Valentin Vacherot [MON] d. Baez07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 7-6(5)
  2. WBaez d. Marcos Giron [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1281-6 6-3 6-4
  3. L(WC) Juncheng Shang [CHN] d. Baez30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R325-7 6-3 7-5
  4. LJenson Brooksby [USA] d. (8) Baez23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · R327-5 7-5
  5. L(16) Brandon Nakashima [USA] d. Baez31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1286-2 6-1 6-0
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez recent form

  1. L(2) Hugo Dellien [BOL] d. Pacheco Mendez12-Oct-2026 · Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 CH · Clay · R166-3 7-5
  2. WPacheco Mendez d. (Alt) Juan Estevez [ARG]12-Oct-2026 · Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 CH · Clay · R326-3 4-6 6-3
  3. L(4) Ilia Simakin [RUS] d. (3) Pacheco Mendez14-Sep-2026 · Phan Thiet 4 CH · Hard · F6-7(4) 6-4 6-3
  4. W(3) Pacheco Mendez d. (1) Moise Kouame [FRA]14-Sep-2026 · Phan Thiet 4 CH · Hard · SF2-6 6-3 6-4
  5. W(3) Pacheco Mendez d. (7) Philip Sekulic [AUS]14-Sep-2026 · Phan Thiet 4 CH · Hard · QF6-4 6-4
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Sebastian Baez vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez statistical comparison

Sebastian Baez has a 56.7% win rate across 60 2026 matches. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has a 60.0% win rate across 45 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Sebastian Baez is 1–4 and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Sebastian Baez records 75.0% of service games held and 61.6% of service points won. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez records 84.2% of service games held and 65.7% of service points won.

On return, Sebastian Baez records 25.7% of return games broken and 38.7% of return points won. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez records 25.1% of return games broken and 38.2% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 2.7% for Sebastian Baez and 7.7% for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez.

Sebastian Baez holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 149.7 points. The rating baseline converts to 70.3% for Sebastian Baez and 29.7% for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.2% versus 75.0%). Sebastian Baez has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (25.7% versus 25.1%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Sebastian Baez vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Sebastian Baez vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.