ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA) - Qualification, hard · HARD

Kei Nishikori vs Rei Sakamoto prediction

27 August 2026 · Final

FINAL RESULTMatch finished
Kei Nishikori — Flashscore photo

Kei Nishikori

JPN

Age 36

Overall Elo
1708.0
Hard Elo
—
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Rei Sakamoto — Flashscore photo

Rei Sakamoto

JPN

Age 20

Overall Elo
1634.0
Hard Elo
—
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Kei Nishikori vs Rei Sakamoto prediction, H2H and odds

The match has finished. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Kei Nishikori vs Rei Sakamoto statistical comparison

Kei Nishikori and Rei Sakamoto are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD4–7Kei Nishikori
RECENT FORM2–3Kei Nishikori · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM4–1Rei Sakamoto · last 5
2026 RECORD22–18Rei Sakamoto
Kei Nishikori1666.3hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP58.0between the players
Rei Sakamoto1608.3hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Kei Nishikori vs Rei Sakamoto

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Kei Nishikori1.63Market odds
Rei SakamotoPendingMarket odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Kei Nishikori recent form

  1. L(2) Frances Tiafoe [USA] d. (WC) Nishikori30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-4 6-4
  2. LRei Sakamoto [JPN] d. (WC) Nishikori31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · Q36-4 7-6(3)
  3. W(WC) Nishikori d. (WC) Michael Antonius [USA]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · Q26-4 6-4
  4. W(WC) Nishikori d. (16) Sebastian Ofner [AUT]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · Q16-1 2-6 6-2
  5. L(6) Marco Trungelliti [ARG] d. (WC) Nishikori13-Aug-2026 · Cincinnati Masters · Hard · Q24-6 7-5 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Rei Sakamoto recent form

  1. L(9) Alex De Minaur [AUS] d. (Q) Sakamoto07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-6(6) 6-4
  2. W(Q) Sakamoto d. (23) Andrey Rublev [RUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 6-4
  3. W(Q) Sakamoto d. Marco Trungelliti [ARG]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-3 7-5
  4. W(21) Sakamoto d. (3) Kyrian Jacquet [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q27-6(6) 4-6 7-6(8)
  5. W(21) Sakamoto d. (PR) Seong Chan Hong [KOR]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q16-3 7-5
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Kei Nishikori vs Rei Sakamoto statistical comparison

Kei Nishikori has a 36.4% win rate across 11 2026 matches. Rei Sakamoto has a 55.0% win rate across 40 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Kei Nishikori is 2–3 and Rei Sakamoto is 4–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Kei Nishikori records 75.1% of service games held and 62.7% of service points won. Rei Sakamoto records 83.0% of service games held and 65.3% of service points won.

On return, Kei Nishikori records 20.4% of return games broken and 36.2% of return points won. Rei Sakamoto records 19.6% of return games broken and 36.1% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 4.0% for Kei Nishikori and 11.1% for Rei Sakamoto.

Kei Nishikori holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 58.0 points. The rating baseline converts to 58.3% for Kei Nishikori and 41.7% for Rei Sakamoto before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Rei Sakamoto enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (83.0% versus 75.1%). Kei Nishikori has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (20.4% versus 19.6%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Kei Nishikori vs Rei Sakamoto prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Kei Nishikori vs Rei Sakamoto H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.