US Open · HARD

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev prediction

2 September 2026 · 17:10

FINAL RESULTMatch finished3-1
Daniel Merida Aguilar — Flashscore photo

Daniel Merida Aguilar

ESP

Age 22

Overall Elo
1890.0
Hard Elo
1805.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Andrey Rublev — Flashscore photo

Andrey Rublev

RUS

Age 28

Overall Elo
1893.0
Hard Elo
1830.2
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev prediction, H2H and odds

The match has finished with a final score of 3-1. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev statistical comparison

Daniel Merida Aguilar and Andrey Rublev are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD33–17Daniel Merida Aguilar
RECENT FORM3–2Daniel Merida Aguilar · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM2–3Andrey Rublev · last 5
2026 RECORD33–20Andrey Rublev
Daniel Merida Aguilar1805.4hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP24.8between the players
Andrey Rublev1830.2hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Daniel Merida Aguilar2.33Market odds
Andrey Rublev1.63Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Daniel Merida Aguilar recent form

  1. LBotic Van De Zandschulp [NED] d. Merida Aguilar07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1281-6 6-3 6-4
  2. WMerida Aguilar d. Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]19-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup QLS R2: ESP vs CHI · Clay · RR5-7 6-3 6-3
  3. LAlex Michelsen [USA] d. Merida Aguilar31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R327-6(5) 6-4 6-3
  4. WMerida Aguilar d. (23) Andrey Rublev [RUS]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R646-7(3) 6-2 6-4 6-4
  5. WMerida Aguilar d. Marton Fucsovics [HUN]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1286-4 6-4 6-2
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Andrey Rublev recent form

  1. L(Q) Rei Sakamoto [JPN] d. (23) Rublev07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 6-4
  2. L(5) Alex De Minaur [AUS] d. Rublev30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · QF1-6 6-2 6-3
  3. WRublev d. (SE) Roman Safiullin [RUS]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R166-2 3-6 6-4
  4. WRublev d. Tallon Griekspoor [NED]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R326-4 5-7 7-6(6)
  5. L(1) Daniil Medvedev [RUS] d. (2) Rublev23-Sep-2026 · Hangzhou · Hard · F7-5 6-4
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev statistical comparison

Daniel Merida Aguilar has a 66.0% win rate across 50 2026 matches. Andrey Rublev has a 62.3% win rate across 53 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Daniel Merida Aguilar is 3–2 and Andrey Rublev is 2–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Daniel Merida Aguilar records 75.6% of service games held and 61.4% of service points won. Andrey Rublev records 84.6% of service games held and 66.7% of service points won.

On return, Daniel Merida Aguilar records 32.0% of return games broken and 41.4% of return points won. Andrey Rublev records 22.0% of return games broken and 37.1% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 4.0% for Daniel Merida Aguilar and 10.0% for Andrey Rublev.

Andrey Rublev holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 13.5 points. The rating baseline converts to 48.1% for Daniel Merida Aguilar and 51.9% for Andrey Rublev before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Andrey Rublev enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.6% versus 75.6%). Daniel Merida Aguilar has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (32.0% versus 22.0%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.