US Open · HARD

Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny prediction

2 September 2026 · 17:10

FINAL RESULTMatch finished3-0
Daniil Medvedev — Flashscore photo

Daniil Medvedev

RUS

Age 30

Overall Elo
1965.0
Hard Elo
1918.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
SG

Sebastian Gorzny

USA

Age 22

Flashscore photo unavailable.

Overall Elo
1494.0
Hard Elo
1328.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny prediction, H2H and odds

The match has finished with a final score of 3-0. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny statistical comparison

Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Gorzny are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD45–18Daniil Medvedev
RECENT FORM3–1Daniil Medvedev · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Sebastian Gorzny · last 5
2026 RECORD7–8Sebastian Gorzny
Daniil Medvedev1918.4hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP590.0between the players
Sebastian Gorzny1328.4hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Daniil Medvedev1.02Market odds
Sebastian Gorzny18.50Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Daniil Medvedev recent form

  1. –(5) Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas [GRE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R16—
  2. W(5) Medvedev d. (Q) Dalibor Svrcina [CZE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-2 6-3
  3. W(5) Medvedev d. Jan Lennard Struff [GER]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 6-4 6-3
  4. L(6) Novak Djokovic [SRB] d. (3) Medvedev30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · SF7-5 5-3 Def.
  5. W(3) Medvedev d. Francisco Cerundolo [ARG]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · QF7-6(4) 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Sebastian Gorzny recent form

  1. L(8) Tristan Boyer [USA] d. (Q) Gorzny21-Sep-2026 · San Diego 2 CH · Hard · R166-4 7-6(7)
  2. W(Q) Gorzny d. (Alt) Mitchell Krueger [USA]21-Sep-2026 · San Diego 2 CH · Hard · R324-6 7-5 7-5
  3. W(10) Gorzny d. (1) Aidan Mayo [USA]21-Sep-2026 · San Diego 2 CH · Hard · Q26-3 6-4
  4. W(10) Gorzny d. (WC) Andrew Johnson [USA]21-Sep-2026 · San Diego 2 CH · Hard · Q17-5 6-0
  5. L(WC) J J Wolf [USA] d. (WC) Gorzny14-Sep-2026 · Tiburon CH · Hard · QF7-6(5) 1-6 7-5
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny statistical comparison

Daniil Medvedev has a 71.4% win rate across 63 2026 matches. Sebastian Gorzny has a 46.7% win rate across 15 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Daniil Medvedev is 3–1 and Sebastian Gorzny is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Daniil Medvedev records 84.4% of service games held and 65.7% of service points won. Sebastian Gorzny records 79.6% of service games held and 62.2% of service points won.

On return, Daniil Medvedev records 28.2% of return games broken and 40.7% of return points won. Sebastian Gorzny records 21.9% of return games broken and 36.7% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 11.6% for Daniil Medvedev and 9.2% for Sebastian Gorzny.

Daniil Medvedev holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 480.5 points. The rating baseline converts to 94.1% for Daniil Medvedev and 5.9% for Sebastian Gorzny before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Daniil Medvedev enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.4% versus 79.6%). Daniil Medvedev has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.2% versus 21.9%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.