Denis Shapovalov
CAN
Age 27
US Open · HARD
Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche prediction
2 September 2026 · Live
Luca Van Assche
FRA
Age 22
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche prediction, H2H and odds
Denis Shapovalov faces Luca Van Assche at US Open on 2 September 2026. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.63 and 2.33.
Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche statistical comparison
Denis Shapovalov and Luca Van Assche are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Denis Shapovalov1773.4hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP48.3between the players
Luca Van Assche1725.1hard Elo
DENIS SHAPOVALOV PROFILEDenis Shapovalov
View full profileCAN · Age 27 · Left-handed · 185 cm · Rank 42
- Hold
- 77.7%
- Break
- 22.8%
- Aces
- 10.1%
- Return points
- 37.2%
LUCA VAN ASSCHE PROFILELuca Van Assche
View full profileFRA · Age 22 · Right-handed · 178 cm · Rank 45
- Hold
- 76.9%
- Break
- 32.9%
- Aces
- 4.4%
- Return points
- 42.0%
Market prices for Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Denis Shapovalov recent form
- L(1) Carlos Alcaraz [ESP] d. Shapovalov30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · QF7-6(3) 2-1 RET
- WShapovalov d. Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R167-5 3-6 6-4
- WShapovalov d. (WC) Sho Shimabukuro [JPN]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R327-5 6-1
- L(5) Hubert Hurkacz [POL] d. (7) Shapovalov23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · SF6-7(8) 6-3 6-3
- W(7) Shapovalov d. Adrian Mannarino [FRA]23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · QF6-7(6) 6-3 6-2
Luca Van Assche recent form
- L(WC) Bu Yunchaokete [CHN] d. Van Assche07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1287-6(3) 6-3
- L(Q) Arthur Fils [FRA] d. Van Assche30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-3 6-2
- LDenis Shapovalov [CAN] d. Van Assche31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R646-0 6-4 7-6(7)
- WVan Assche d. (29) Cameron Norrie [GBR]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1286-7(6) 6-2 6-2 6-3
- LAleksandar Kovacevic [USA] d. (11) Van Assche23-Aug-2026 · Winston-Salem · Hard · R326-1 7-6(6)
Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche statistical comparison
Denis Shapovalov has a 51.2% win rate across 41 2026 matches. Luca Van Assche has a 69.2% win rate across 52 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Denis Shapovalov is 3–2 and Luca Van Assche is 1–4. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Denis Shapovalov records 77.7% of service games held and 63.3% of service points won. Luca Van Assche records 76.9% of service games held and 61.7% of service points won.
On return, Denis Shapovalov records 22.8% of return games broken and 37.2% of return points won. Luca Van Assche records 32.9% of return games broken and 42.0% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 10.1% for Denis Shapovalov and 4.4% for Luca Van Assche.
Denis Shapovalov holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 83.2 points. The rating baseline converts to 61.7% for Denis Shapovalov and 38.3% for Luca Van Assche before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Denis Shapovalov enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (77.7% versus 76.9%). Luca Van Assche has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (32.9% versus 22.8%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.