Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul prediction

Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul statistical comparison

Alexander Bublik has a 58.8% win rate across 51 2026 matches. Tommy Paul has a 68.3% win rate across 60 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Alexander Bublik is 2–3 and Tommy Paul is 2–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Alexander Bublik records 86.9% of service games held and 68.3% of service points won. Tommy Paul records 84.5% of service games held and 66.7% of service points won.

On return, Alexander Bublik records 15.6% of return games broken and 33.3% of return points won. Tommy Paul records 24.7% of return games broken and 38.4% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 14.3% for Alexander Bublik and 8.3% for Tommy Paul.

Tommy Paul holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 51.3 points. The rating baseline converts to 42.7% for Alexander Bublik and 57.3% for Tommy Paul before any separate market or contextual assessment.

Hard-court matchup factors

Alexander Bublik enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (86.9% versus 84.5%). Tommy Paul has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (24.7% versus 15.6%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.