Daniil Medvedev
RUS
Age 30
US Open · HARD
Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe prediction
6 September 2026 · Live
Frances Tiafoe
USA
Age 28
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe prediction, H2H and odds
Daniil Medvedev faces Frances Tiafoe at US Open on 6 September 2026. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.64 and 2.31.
Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe statistical comparison
Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Daniil Medvedev1918.4hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP34.7between the players
Frances Tiafoe1883.7hard Elo
DANIIL MEDVEDEV PROFILEDaniil Medvedev
View full profileRUS · Age 30 · Right-handed · 198 cm · Rank 6
- Hold
- 84.4%
- Break
- 28.2%
- Aces
- 11.6%
- Return points
- 40.7%
FRANCES TIAFOE PROFILEFrances Tiafoe
View full profileUSA · Age 28 · Right-handed · 188 cm · Rank 10
- Hold
- 84.8%
- Break
- 21.6%
- Aces
- 7.3%
- Return points
- 35.6%
Market prices for Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Daniil Medvedev recent form
- –(5) Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas [GRE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R16—
- W(5) Medvedev d. (Q) Dalibor Svrcina [CZE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-2 6-3
- W(5) Medvedev d. Jan Lennard Struff [GER]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 6-4 6-3
- L(6) Novak Djokovic [SRB] d. (3) Medvedev30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · SF7-5 5-3 Def.
- W(3) Medvedev d. Francisco Cerundolo [ARG]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · QF7-6(4) 6-3
Frances Tiafoe recent form
- L(25) Alejandro Davidovich Fokina [ESP] d. (7) Tiafoe07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-6(4) 4-6 7-6(6)
- W(7) Tiafoe d. Yannick Hanfmann [GER]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 6-4
- L(Q) Arthur Fils [FRA] d. (2) Tiafoe30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R166-3 7-5
- W(2) Tiafoe d. (WC) Kei Nishikori [JPN]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-4 6-4
- L(8) Ben Shelton [USA] d. (11) Tiafoe31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · SF4-6 6-3 6-3 7-5
Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe statistical comparison
Daniil Medvedev has a 71.4% win rate across 63 2026 matches. Frances Tiafoe has a 69.8% win rate across 63 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Daniil Medvedev is 3–1 and Frances Tiafoe is 2–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Daniil Medvedev records 84.4% of service games held and 65.7% of service points won. Frances Tiafoe records 84.8% of service games held and 66.3% of service points won.
On return, Daniil Medvedev records 28.2% of return games broken and 40.7% of return points won. Frances Tiafoe records 21.6% of return games broken and 35.6% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 11.6% for Daniil Medvedev and 7.3% for Frances Tiafoe.
Daniil Medvedev holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 35.6 points. The rating baseline converts to 55.1% for Daniil Medvedev and 44.9% for Frances Tiafoe before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Frances Tiafoe enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.8% versus 84.4%). Daniil Medvedev has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.2% versus 21.6%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.