Beijing · HARD

Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction

28 September 2026 · 11:35

FINAL RESULTMatch finished0-2
YZ

Yi Zhou

CHN

Age 21

Flashscore photo unavailable.

Overall Elo
1430.0
Hard Elo
1414.0
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Pablo Carreno Busta — Flashscore photo

Pablo Carreno Busta

ESP

Age 35

Overall Elo
1772.0
Hard Elo
1709.7
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction, H2H and odds

The match has finished with a final score of 0-2. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta statistical comparison

Yi Zhou and Pablo Carreno Busta are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD18–18Yi Zhou
RECENT FORM2–3Yi Zhou · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Pablo Carreno Busta · last 5
2026 RECORD23–19Pablo Carreno Busta
Yi Zhou1414.0hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP295.7between the players
Pablo Carreno Busta1709.7hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Yi Zhou3.27Market odds
Pablo Carreno Busta1.29Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Yi Zhou recent form

  1. LHubert Hurkacz [POL] d. (WC) Zhou07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-2 3-6 6-3
  2. W(WC) Zhou d. (24) Lorenzo Musetti [ITA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R647-6(7) 3-6 7-6(1)
  3. W(WC) Zhou d. (Q) Mattia Bellucci [ITA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-4 3-6 7-6(4)
  4. L(7) Pablo Carreno Busta [ESP] d. (WC) Zhou30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · Q17-5 6-3
  5. LJuan Manuel Cerundolo [ARG] d. (WC) Zhou23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · R326-4 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Pablo Carreno Busta recent form

  1. L(4) Felix Auger Aliassime [CAN] d. Carreno Busta07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-3 4-6 6-1
  2. WCarreno Busta d. (29) Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 7-6(2) 6-4
  3. WCarreno Busta d. Mariano Navone [ARG]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1284-6 7-5 6-3
  4. L(3) Daniil Medvedev [RUS] d. (Q) Carreno Busta30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R326-4 6-2
  5. W(7) Carreno Busta d. Adrian Mannarino [FRA]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · Q26-3 6-4
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta statistical comparison

Yi Zhou has a 50.0% win rate across 36 2026 matches. Pablo Carreno Busta has a 54.8% win rate across 42 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Yi Zhou is 2–3 and Pablo Carreno Busta is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Yi Zhou records 77.8% of service games held and 62.6% of service points won. Pablo Carreno Busta records 75.7% of service games held and 61.6% of service points won.

On return, Yi Zhou records 20.9% of return games broken and 36.5% of return points won. Pablo Carreno Busta records 25.5% of return games broken and 38.5% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 9.0% for Yi Zhou and 3.6% for Pablo Carreno Busta.

Pablo Carreno Busta holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 315.3 points. The rating baseline converts to 14.0% for Yi Zhou and 86.0% for Pablo Carreno Busta before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Yi Zhou enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (77.8% versus 75.7%). Pablo Carreno Busta has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (25.5% versus 20.9%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.