Tokyo · HARD

Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul prediction

30 September 2026 · 06:30

FINAL RESULTAlejandro TabiloWinner
Alejandro Tabilo — Flashscore photo

Alejandro Tabilo

CHI

Age 29

Overall Elo
1803.0
Hard Elo
1770.5
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Tommy Paul — Flashscore photo

Tommy Paul

USA

Age 29

Overall Elo
1937.0
Hard Elo
1886.5
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

Recharge

Get Unlimited Credits

Starter

150 credits

10 calculations

Regular

450 credits

30 calculations

Plus

900 credits

60 calculations

One-time payment. Purchased credits never expire. Saved calculations expire after 7 days.

Credits & data

Free accounts receive one free prediction per day and zero monthly credits. Further calculations use purchased credits and cost 15 credits each. Premium and Admin accounts have unlimited calculations while access remains active. Failed calculations cost nothing.

Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul prediction, H2H and odds

Alejandro Tabilo won the match. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul statistical comparison

Alejandro Tabilo and Tommy Paul are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD38–28Alejandro Tabilo
RECENT FORM1–4Alejandro Tabilo · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM2–2Tommy Paul · last 5
2026 RECORD41–19Tommy Paul
Alejandro Tabilo1770.5hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP116.0between the players
Tommy Paul1886.5hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Alejandro Tabilo3.24Market odds
Tommy Paul1.38Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Alejandro Tabilo recent form

  1. LPablo Carreno Busta [ESP] d. (29) Tabilo07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 7-6(2) 6-4
  2. LDenis Shapovalov [CAN] d. Tabilo30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R167-5 3-6 6-4
  3. WTabilo d. (7) Tommy Paul [USA]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-1 6-2
  4. LAdrian Mannarino [FRA] d. (3) Tabilo23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · R166-4 6-4
  5. LDaniel Merida Aguilar [ESP] d. Tabilo19-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup QLS R2: ESP vs CHI · Clay · RR5-7 6-3 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Tommy Paul recent form

  1. –(15) Paul vs Zizou Bergs [BEL]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R16—
  2. W(15) Paul d. (17) Valentin Vacherot [MON]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-4 6-2
  3. W(15) Paul d. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo [PAR]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-2 6-2
  4. LAlejandro Tabilo [CHI] d. (7) Paul30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-1 6-2
  5. L(2) Carlos Alcaraz [ESP] d. (20) Paul31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R166-4 6-3 6-4
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul statistical comparison

Alejandro Tabilo has a 57.6% win rate across 66 2026 matches. Tommy Paul has a 68.3% win rate across 60 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Alejandro Tabilo is 1–4 and Tommy Paul is 2–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Alejandro Tabilo records 83.3% of service games held and 66.1% of service points won. Tommy Paul records 84.5% of service games held and 66.7% of service points won.

On return, Alejandro Tabilo records 20.9% of return games broken and 36.5% of return points won. Tommy Paul records 24.7% of return games broken and 38.4% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 7.6% for Alejandro Tabilo and 8.3% for Tommy Paul.

Tommy Paul holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 113.3 points. The rating baseline converts to 34.2% for Alejandro Tabilo and 65.8% for Tommy Paul before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Tommy Paul enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.5% versus 83.3%). Tommy Paul has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (24.7% versus 20.9%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.