Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ESP
Age 27
Tokyo · HARD
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Berrettini prediction
1 October 2026 · 11:30
Matteo Berrettini
ITA
Age 30
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Berrettini prediction, H2H and odds
Matteo Berrettini won the match with a final score of 1-2. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Berrettini statistical comparison
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Matteo Berrettini are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina1843.4hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP63.5between the players
Matteo Berrettini1779.9hard Elo
ALEJANDRO DAVIDOVICH FOKINA PROFILEAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
View full profileESP · Age 27 · Right-handed · 183 cm · Rank 26
- Hold
- 85.6%
- Break
- 20.4%
- Aces
- 6.2%
- Return points
- 36.3%
MATTEO BERRETTINI PROFILEMatteo Berrettini
View full profileITA · Age 30 · Right-handed · 196 cm · Rank 46
- Hold
- 85.6%
- Break
- 15.4%
- Aces
- 11.2%
- Return points
- 33.7%
Market prices for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Berrettini
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina recent form
- –(25) Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur Gea [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · QF—
- W(25) Davidovich Fokina d. Hubert Hurkacz [POL]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R161-6 6-3 7-6(6)
- W(25) Davidovich Fokina d. (7) Frances Tiafoe [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-6(4) 4-6 7-6(6)
- W(25) Davidovich Fokina d. Jenson Brooksby [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-1 6-3
- LMatteo Berrettini [ITA] d. Davidovich Fokina30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R321-6 7-6(1) 6-4
Matteo Berrettini recent form
- L(16) Brandon Nakashima [USA] d. Berrettini07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R647-6(4) 7-5
- WBerrettini d. Aleksandar Kovacevic [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-7(3) 6-1 6-4
- L(Q) Adolfo Daniel Vallejo [PAR] d. Berrettini30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R167-6(6) 6-1
- WBerrettini d. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina [ESP]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R321-6 7-6(1) 6-4
- LMariano Navone [ARG] d. Berrettini31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R643-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(4)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Berrettini statistical comparison
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 63.8% win rate across 47 2026 matches. Matteo Berrettini has a 53.8% win rate across 39 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 3–1 and Matteo Berrettini is 2–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina records 85.6% of service games held and 67.1% of service points won. Matteo Berrettini records 85.6% of service games held and 68.0% of service points won.
On return, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina records 20.4% of return games broken and 36.3% of return points won. Matteo Berrettini records 15.4% of return games broken and 33.7% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 6.2% for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and 11.2% for Matteo Berrettini.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 77.5 points. The rating baseline converts to 61.0% for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and 39.0% for Matteo Berrettini before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (85.6% versus 85.6%). Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (20.4% versus 15.4%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Berrettini prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Berrettini H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.