Alex De Minaur
AUS
Age 27
Beijing · HARD
Alex De Minaur vs Mariano Navone prediction
1 October 2026 · 05:10
Mariano Navone
ARG
Age 25
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Alex De Minaur vs Mariano Navone prediction, H2H and odds
Alex De Minaur won the match with a final score of 2-0. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.
Alex De Minaur vs Mariano Navone statistical comparison
Alex De Minaur and Mariano Navone are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Alex De Minaur1912.5hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP171.2between the players
Mariano Navone1741.3hard Elo
ALEX DE MINAUR PROFILEAlex De Minaur
View full profileAUS · Age 27 · Right-handed · 183 cm · Rank 9
- Hold
- 81.9%
- Break
- 26.7%
- Aces
- 5.4%
- Return points
- 39.7%
MARIANO NAVONE PROFILEMariano Navone
View full profileARG · Age 25 · Right-handed · 178 cm · Rank 47
- Hold
- 74.3%
- Break
- 28.3%
- Aces
- 2.2%
- Return points
- 40.6%
Market prices for Alex De Minaur vs Mariano Navone
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Alex De Minaur recent form
- –(9) De Minaur vs (1) Alexander Zverev [GER]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · QF—
- W(9) De Minaur d. (26) Karen Khachanov [RUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R166-3 6-4
- W(9) De Minaur d. (Q) Rei Sakamoto [JPN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-6(6) 6-4
- W(9) De Minaur d. Alex Molcan [SVK]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R64W/O
- L(6) Novak Djokovic [SRB] d. (5) De Minaur30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · F7-6(3) 0-1 RET
Mariano Navone recent form
- LPablo Carreno Busta [ESP] d. Navone07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1284-6 7-5 6-3
- L(5) Alex De Minaur [AUS] d. Navone30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R327-6(4) 6-2
- L(27) Tomas Martin Etcheverry [ARG] d. Navone31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R326-4 6-4 6-3
- WNavone d. Matteo Berrettini [ITA]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R643-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(4)
- WNavone d. (4) Novak Djokovic [SRB]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1287-6(5) 5-7 4-6 6-2 6-1
Alex De Minaur vs Mariano Navone statistical comparison
Alex De Minaur has a 68.8% win rate across 64 2026 matches. Mariano Navone has a 53.8% win rate across 52 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Alex De Minaur is 3–1 and Mariano Navone is 2–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Alex De Minaur records 81.9% of service games held and 64.5% of service points won. Mariano Navone records 74.3% of service games held and 61.1% of service points won.
On return, Alex De Minaur records 26.7% of return games broken and 39.7% of return points won. Mariano Navone records 28.3% of return games broken and 40.6% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 5.4% for Alex De Minaur and 2.2% for Mariano Navone.
Alex De Minaur holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 211.3 points. The rating baseline converts to 77.1% for Alex De Minaur and 22.9% for Mariano Navone before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Alex De Minaur enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (81.9% versus 74.3%). Mariano Navone has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.3% versus 26.7%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Alex De Minaur vs Mariano Navone prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Alex De Minaur vs Mariano Navone H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.