Denis Shapovalov
CAN
Age 27
Tokyo · HARD
Denis Shapovalov vs Sho Shimabukuro prediction
1 October 2026 · 09:55
Sho Shimabukuro
JPN
Age 29
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Denis Shapovalov vs Sho Shimabukuro prediction, H2H and odds
Denis Shapovalov won the match with a final score of 2-0. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.
Denis Shapovalov vs Sho Shimabukuro statistical comparison
Denis Shapovalov and Sho Shimabukuro are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Denis Shapovalov1785.6hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP217.1between the players
Sho Shimabukuro1568.5hard Elo
DENIS SHAPOVALOV PROFILEDenis Shapovalov
View full profileCAN · Age 27 · Left-handed · 185 cm · Rank 42
- Hold
- 77.7%
- Break
- 22.8%
- Aces
- 10.1%
- Return points
- 37.2%
SHO SHIMABUKURO PROFILESho Shimabukuro
View full profileJPN · Age 29 · Right-handed · 180 cm · Rank 109
- Hold
- 76.0%
- Break
- 17.7%
- Aces
- 8.5%
- Return points
- 34.3%
Market prices for Denis Shapovalov vs Sho Shimabukuro
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Denis Shapovalov recent form
- L(1) Carlos Alcaraz [ESP] d. Shapovalov30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · QF7-6(3) 2-1 RET
- WShapovalov d. Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R167-5 3-6 6-4
- WShapovalov d. (WC) Sho Shimabukuro [JPN]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R327-5 6-1
- L(5) Hubert Hurkacz [POL] d. (7) Shapovalov23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · SF6-7(8) 6-3 6-3
- W(7) Shapovalov d. Adrian Mannarino [FRA]23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · QF6-7(6) 6-3 6-2
Sho Shimabukuro recent form
- LMiomir Kecmanovic [SRB] d. (WC) Shimabukuro07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-2 6-4
- LDenis Shapovalov [CAN] d. (WC) Shimabukuro30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R327-5 6-1
- LHugo Gaston [FRA] d. Shimabukuro23-Sep-2026 · Hangzhou · Hard · R326-4 6-4
- WShimabukuro d. James Watt [NZL]19-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup WG1 R1: JPN vs NZL · Hard · RR3-6 6-3 6-4
- WShimabukuro d. Anton Shepp [NZL]19-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup WG1 R1: JPN vs NZL · Hard · RR6-3 6-3
Denis Shapovalov vs Sho Shimabukuro statistical comparison
Denis Shapovalov has a 51.2% win rate across 41 2026 matches. Sho Shimabukuro has a 41.5% win rate across 41 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Denis Shapovalov is 3–2 and Sho Shimabukuro is 2–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Denis Shapovalov records 77.7% of service games held and 63.3% of service points won. Sho Shimabukuro records 76.0% of service games held and 62.0% of service points won.
On return, Denis Shapovalov records 22.8% of return games broken and 37.2% of return points won. Sho Shimabukuro records 17.7% of return games broken and 34.3% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 10.1% for Denis Shapovalov and 8.5% for Sho Shimabukuro.
Denis Shapovalov holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 255.7 points. The rating baseline converts to 81.3% for Denis Shapovalov and 18.7% for Sho Shimabukuro before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Denis Shapovalov enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (77.7% versus 76.0%). Denis Shapovalov has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (22.8% versus 17.7%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Denis Shapovalov vs Sho Shimabukuro prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Denis Shapovalov vs Sho Shimabukuro H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.