Tokyo · HARD

Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe prediction

1 October 2026 · 07:30

FINAL RESULTFrances TiafoeWinner0-2
Kei Nishikori — Flashscore photo

Kei Nishikori

JPN

Age 36

Overall Elo
1708.0
Hard Elo
1670.0
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Frances Tiafoe — Flashscore photo

Frances Tiafoe

USA

Age 28

Overall Elo
1954.0
Hard Elo
1911.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe prediction, H2H and odds

Frances Tiafoe won the match with a final score of 0-2. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe statistical comparison

Kei Nishikori and Frances Tiafoe are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD4–7Kei Nishikori
RECENT FORM2–3Kei Nishikori · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM2–3Frances Tiafoe · last 5
2026 RECORD44–19Frances Tiafoe
Kei Nishikori1670.0hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP241.4between the players
Frances Tiafoe1911.4hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Kei Nishikori4.92Market odds
Frances Tiafoe1.20Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Kei Nishikori recent form

  1. L(2) Frances Tiafoe [USA] d. (WC) Nishikori30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-4 6-4
  2. LRei Sakamoto [JPN] d. (WC) Nishikori31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · Q36-4 7-6(3)
  3. W(WC) Nishikori d. (WC) Michael Antonius [USA]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · Q26-4 6-4
  4. W(WC) Nishikori d. (16) Sebastian Ofner [AUT]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · Q16-1 2-6 6-2
  5. L(6) Marco Trungelliti [ARG] d. (WC) Nishikori13-Aug-2026 · Cincinnati Masters · Hard · Q24-6 7-5 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Frances Tiafoe recent form

  1. L(25) Alejandro Davidovich Fokina [ESP] d. (7) Tiafoe07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-6(4) 4-6 7-6(6)
  2. W(7) Tiafoe d. Yannick Hanfmann [GER]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 6-4
  3. L(Q) Arthur Fils [FRA] d. (2) Tiafoe30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R166-3 7-5
  4. W(2) Tiafoe d. (WC) Kei Nishikori [JPN]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-4 6-4
  5. L(8) Ben Shelton [USA] d. (11) Tiafoe31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · SF4-6 6-3 6-3 7-5
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe statistical comparison

Kei Nishikori has a 36.4% win rate across 11 2026 matches. Frances Tiafoe has a 69.8% win rate across 63 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Kei Nishikori is 2–3 and Frances Tiafoe is 2–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Kei Nishikori records 75.1% of service games held and 62.7% of service points won. Frances Tiafoe records 84.8% of service games held and 66.3% of service points won.

On return, Kei Nishikori records 20.4% of return games broken and 36.2% of return points won. Frances Tiafoe records 21.6% of return games broken and 35.6% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 4.0% for Kei Nishikori and 7.3% for Frances Tiafoe.

Frances Tiafoe holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 241.2 points. The rating baseline converts to 20.0% for Kei Nishikori and 80.0% for Frances Tiafoe before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Frances Tiafoe enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.8% versus 75.1%). Frances Tiafoe has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (21.6% versus 20.4%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.