Tokyo · HARD

Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud prediction

1 October 2026 · 04:10

FINAL RESULTLuciano DarderiWinner2-0
Luciano Darderi — Flashscore photo

Luciano Darderi

ITA

Age 24

Overall Elo
1830.0
Hard Elo
1730.8
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Casper Ruud — Flashscore photo

Casper Ruud

NOR

Age 27

Overall Elo
1937.0
Hard Elo
1857.1
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud prediction, H2H and odds

Luciano Darderi won the match with a final score of 2-0. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud statistical comparison

Luciano Darderi and Casper Ruud are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD36–24Luciano Darderi
RECENT FORM2–3Luciano Darderi · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–1Casper Ruud · last 5
2026 RECORD30–18Casper Ruud
Luciano Darderi1730.8hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP126.3between the players
Casper Ruud1857.1hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Luciano Darderi2.85Market odds
Casper Ruud1.46Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Luciano Darderi recent form

  1. LStefanos Tsitsipas [GRE] d. (18) Darderi07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-3 6-4
  2. L(SE) Kyrian Jacquet [FRA] d. Darderi30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R166-3 7-6(5)
  3. WDarderi d. (6) Casper Ruud [NOR]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R327-6(3) 6-3
  4. L(1) Alexander Zverev [GER] d. (21) Darderi31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R166-2 6-2 7-6(3)
  5. W(21) Darderi d. (WC) Dane Sweeny [AUS]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R326-4 6-3 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Casper Ruud recent form

  1. –(20) Ruud vs (4) Felix Auger Aliassime [CAN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R16—
  2. W(20) Ruud d. (14) Learner Tien [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-4 7-6(3)
  3. W(20) Ruud d. (WC) Bu Yunchaokete [CHN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-1 7-6(2)
  4. LLuciano Darderi [ITA] d. (6) Ruud30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R327-6(3) 6-3
  5. WRuud d. Francisco Cerundolo [ARG]25-Sep-2026 · Laver Cup · Hard · RR6-7(4) 6-4 [10-8]
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud statistical comparison

Luciano Darderi has a 60.0% win rate across 60 2026 matches. Casper Ruud has a 62.5% win rate across 48 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Luciano Darderi is 2–3 and Casper Ruud is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Luciano Darderi records 78.1% of service games held and 62.8% of service points won. Casper Ruud records 86.0% of service games held and 66.5% of service points won.

On return, Luciano Darderi records 23.6% of return games broken and 37.6% of return points won. Casper Ruud records 22.2% of return games broken and 37.3% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 7.4% for Luciano Darderi and 8.0% for Casper Ruud.

Casper Ruud holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 116.8 points. The rating baseline converts to 33.8% for Luciano Darderi and 66.2% for Casper Ruud before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Casper Ruud enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (86.0% versus 78.1%). Luciano Darderi has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (23.6% versus 22.2%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.