Beijing · HARD

Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz prediction

5 October 2026 · 09:40

Alex De Minaur — Flashscore photo

Alex De Minaur

AUS

Age 27

Overall Elo
1978.0
Hard Elo
1927.0
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Hubert Hurkacz — Flashscore photo

Hubert Hurkacz

POL

Age 29

Overall Elo
1886.0
Hard Elo
1800.6
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz prediction, H2H and odds

Alex De Minaur faces Hubert Hurkacz at Beijing on 5 October 2026 at 09:40. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.67 and 2.28.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz statistical comparison

Alex De Minaur and Hubert Hurkacz are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD44–20Alex De Minaur
RECENT FORM3–1Alex De Minaur · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Hubert Hurkacz · last 5
2026 RECORD35–22Hubert Hurkacz
Alex De Minaur1927.0hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP126.4between the players
Hubert Hurkacz1800.6hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Alex De Minaur1.67Market odds
Hubert Hurkacz2.28Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Alex De Minaur recent form

  1. –(9) De Minaur vs (1) Alexander Zverev [GER]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · QF—
  2. W(9) De Minaur d. (26) Karen Khachanov [RUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R166-3 6-4
  3. W(9) De Minaur d. (Q) Rei Sakamoto [JPN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-6(6) 6-4
  4. W(9) De Minaur d. Alex Molcan [SVK]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R64W/O
  5. L(6) Novak Djokovic [SRB] d. (5) De Minaur30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · F7-6(3) 0-1 RET
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Hubert Hurkacz recent form

  1. L(25) Alejandro Davidovich Fokina [ESP] d. Hurkacz07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R161-6 6-3 7-6(6)
  2. WHurkacz d. (WC) Yi Zhou [CHN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-2 3-6 6-3
  3. WHurkacz d. (10) Novak Djokovic [SRB]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 6-3
  4. WHurkacz d. James Duckworth [AUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-3 7-6(4)
  5. L(5) Alex De Minaur [AUS] d. Hurkacz30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · SF6-4 3-2 RET
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz statistical comparison

Alex De Minaur has a 68.8% win rate across 64 2026 matches. Hubert Hurkacz has a 61.4% win rate across 57 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Alex De Minaur is 3–1 and Hubert Hurkacz is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Alex De Minaur records 81.9% of service games held and 64.5% of service points won. Hubert Hurkacz records 88.3% of service games held and 68.7% of service points won.

On return, Alex De Minaur records 26.7% of return games broken and 39.7% of return points won. Hubert Hurkacz records 17.9% of return games broken and 35.1% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 5.4% for Alex De Minaur and 16.2% for Hubert Hurkacz.

Alex De Minaur holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 115.4 points. The rating baseline converts to 66.0% for Alex De Minaur and 34.0% for Hubert Hurkacz before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Hubert Hurkacz enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (88.3% versus 81.9%). Alex De Minaur has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (26.7% versus 17.9%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.