Shanghai · HARD

Hugo Gaston vs Liam Draxl prediction

5 October 2026 · 06:10

FINAL RESULTLiam DraxlWinner0-2
Hugo Gaston — Flashscore photo

Hugo Gaston

FRA

Age 26

Overall Elo
1696.0
Hard Elo
1669.6
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
LD

Liam Draxl

CAN

Age 24

Flashscore photo unavailable.

Overall Elo
1598.0
Hard Elo
1562.7
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Hugo Gaston vs Liam Draxl prediction, H2H and odds

Liam Draxl won the match with a final score of 0-2. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Hugo Gaston vs Liam Draxl statistical comparison

Hugo Gaston and Liam Draxl are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD24–20Hugo Gaston
RECENT FORM2–2Hugo Gaston · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–1Liam Draxl · last 5
2026 RECORD21–17Liam Draxl
Hugo Gaston1669.6hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP106.9between the players
Liam Draxl1562.7hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Hugo Gaston vs Liam Draxl

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Hugo Gaston1.61Market odds
Liam Draxl2.18Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Hugo Gaston recent form

  1. –(1) Gaston vs (6) Nicolai Budkov Kjaer [NOR]12-Oct-2026 · Roanne CH · Hard · QF—
  2. W(1) Gaston d. Pierre Hugues Herbert [FRA]12-Oct-2026 · Roanne CH · Hard · R163-6 6-3 6-4
  3. W(1) Gaston d. (WC) Daniel Jade [FRA]12-Oct-2026 · Roanne CH · Hard · R326-1 6-1
  4. LLiam Draxl [CAN] d. (4) Gaston07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q17-5 6-4
  5. L(2) Andrey Rublev [RUS] d. Gaston23-Sep-2026 · Hangzhou · Hard · QF6-7(6) 7-6(4) 6-1
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Liam Draxl recent form

  1. –(Q) Draxl vs (6) Tomas Machac [CZE]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · QF—
  2. W(Q) Draxl d. (Q) Ilya Ivashka [BLR]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R166-4 0-6 6-4
  3. W(Q) Draxl d. (2) James Duckworth [AUS]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R326-4 6-4
  4. W(3) Draxl d. Omar Jasika [AUS]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · Q25-7 7-6(4) 6-4
  5. L(16) Nikoloz Basilashvili [GEO] d. Draxl07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q25-7 7-5 6-4
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Hugo Gaston vs Liam Draxl statistical comparison

Hugo Gaston has a 54.5% win rate across 44 2026 matches. Liam Draxl has a 55.3% win rate across 38 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Hugo Gaston is 2–2 and Liam Draxl is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Hugo Gaston records 73.3% of service games held and 60.5% of service points won. Liam Draxl records 73.8% of service games held and 61.4% of service points won.

On return, Hugo Gaston records 27.1% of return games broken and 39.5% of return points won. Liam Draxl records 28.2% of return games broken and 39.3% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 3.8% for Hugo Gaston and 5.4% for Liam Draxl.

Hugo Gaston holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 106.9 points. The rating baseline converts to 64.9% for Hugo Gaston and 35.1% for Liam Draxl before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Liam Draxl enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (73.8% versus 73.3%). Liam Draxl has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.2% versus 27.1%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Hugo Gaston vs Liam Draxl prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Hugo Gaston vs Liam Draxl H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.