Shanghai · HARD

Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz prediction

5 October 2026 · 06:10

FINAL RESULTAziz DougazWinner1-2
Lorenzo Sonego — Flashscore photo

Lorenzo Sonego

ITA

Age 31

Overall Elo
1707.0
Hard Elo
1692.3
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Aziz Dougaz — Flashscore photo

Aziz Dougaz

TUN

Age 29

Overall Elo
1468.0
Hard Elo
1454.0
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz prediction, H2H and odds

Aziz Dougaz won the match with a final score of 1-2. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz statistical comparison

Lorenzo Sonego and Aziz Dougaz are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD12–18Lorenzo Sonego
RECENT FORM1–4Lorenzo Sonego · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM2–3Aziz Dougaz · last 5
2026 RECORD7–7Aziz Dougaz
Lorenzo Sonego1692.3hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP238.3between the players
Aziz Dougaz1454.0hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Lorenzo Sonego1.22Market odds
Aziz Dougaz3.84Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Lorenzo Sonego recent form

  1. L(PR) Aziz Dougaz [TUN] d. (1) Sonego07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q17-6(5) 5-7 6-4
  2. L(6) Kamil Majchrzak [POL] d. Sonego30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · Q17-5 6-2
  3. LJenson Brooksby [USA] d. Sonego23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · R165-7 7-5 6-2
  4. WSonego d. James Duckworth [AUS]23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · R326-4 6-4
  5. LFrancesco Passaro [ITA] d. (1) Sonego07-Sep-2026 · Genoa Nuova Valletta CH · Clay · R323-6 6-4 6-4
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Aziz Dougaz recent form

  1. L(2) Damir Dzumhur [BIH] d. (PR) Dougaz12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · R326-3 2-6 6-3
  2. L(23) Federico Cina [ITA] d. (PR) Dougaz07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q26-3 4-6 6-4
  3. W(PR) Dougaz d. (1) Lorenzo Sonego [ITA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q17-6(5) 5-7 6-4
  4. WDougaz d. Muhammad Shoaib [PAK]18-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup WG2 R1: TUN vs PAK · Hard · RR6-2 6-3
  5. LAndrea Guerrieri [ITA] d. Dougaz31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · Q36-2 6-4
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz statistical comparison

Lorenzo Sonego has a 40.0% win rate across 30 2026 matches. Aziz Dougaz has a 50.0% win rate across 14 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Lorenzo Sonego is 1–4 and Aziz Dougaz is 2–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Lorenzo Sonego records 81.3% of service games held and 65.9% of service points won. Aziz Dougaz records 78.8% of service games held and 62.0% of service points won.

On return, Lorenzo Sonego records 16.0% of return games broken and 33.4% of return points won. Aziz Dougaz records 21.2% of return games broken and 34.4% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 9.1% for Lorenzo Sonego and 8.4% for Aziz Dougaz.

Lorenzo Sonego holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 227.4 points. The rating baseline converts to 78.7% for Lorenzo Sonego and 21.3% for Aziz Dougaz before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Lorenzo Sonego enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (81.3% versus 78.8%). Aziz Dougaz has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (21.2% versus 16.0%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.