Wuning 3 · HARD

Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan prediction

5 October 2026 · 09:05

FINAL RESULTAkira SantillanWinner1-2
LC

Luca Castelnuovo

SUI

Age 29

Flashscore photo unavailable.

Overall Elo
1286.0
Hard Elo
1265.9
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
AS

Akira Santillan

AUS

Age 29

Flashscore photo unavailable.

Overall Elo
1374.0
Hard Elo
1353.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan prediction, H2H and odds

Akira Santillan won the match with a final score of 1-2. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan statistical comparison

Luca Castelnuovo and Akira Santillan are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD7–11Luca Castelnuovo
RECENT FORM1–4Luca Castelnuovo · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Akira Santillan · last 5
2026 RECORD12–16Akira Santillan
Luca Castelnuovo1265.9hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP87.5between the players
Akira Santillan1353.4hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Luca Castelnuovo1.74Market odds
Akira Santillan1.95Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Luca Castelnuovo recent form

  1. L(7) Akira Santillan [AUS] d. Castelnuovo05-Oct-2026 · Wuning 3 CH · Hard · R326-3 3-6 7-6(5)
  2. L(8) Pavel Kotov [RUS] d. Castelnuovo23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · Q16-7(4) 7-5 7-5
  3. L(7) Elias Ymer [SWE] d. Castelnuovo14-Sep-2026 · Guangzhou Huangpu CH · Hard · R167-6(6) 6-4
  4. WCastelnuovo d. Omar Jasika [AUS]14-Sep-2026 · Guangzhou Huangpu CH · Hard · R326-7(6) 6-2 1-0 RET
  5. LIlya Ivashka [BLR] d. (Q) Castelnuovo07-Sep-2026 · Shanghai CH · Hard · SF6-3 6-4
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Akira Santillan recent form

  1. L(Q) Keisuke Saitoh [JPN] d. (7) Santillan05-Oct-2026 · Wuning 3 CH · Hard · QF6-7(3) 6-1 6-4
  2. W(7) Santillan d. Yaroslav Demin [RUS]05-Oct-2026 · Wuning 3 CH · Hard · R166-3 6-3
  3. W(7) Santillan d. Luca Castelnuovo [SUI]05-Oct-2026 · Wuning 3 CH · Hard · R326-3 3-6 7-6(5)
  4. L(2) Alex Bolt [AUS] d. (8) Santillan23-Sep-2026 · Hangzhou · Hard · Q26-1 2-6 6-4
  5. W(8) Santillan d. (WC) Kaigaoge Kang [CHN]23-Sep-2026 · Hangzhou · Hard · Q16-3 6-0
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan statistical comparison

Luca Castelnuovo has a 38.9% win rate across 18 2026 matches. Akira Santillan has a 42.9% win rate across 28 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Luca Castelnuovo is 1–4 and Akira Santillan is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Luca Castelnuovo records 80.4% of service games held and 63.5% of service points won. Akira Santillan records 74.1% of service games held and 62.4% of service points won.

On return, Luca Castelnuovo records 16.0% of return games broken and 34.2% of return points won. Akira Santillan records 19.0% of return games broken and 35.4% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 11.2% for Luca Castelnuovo and 7.5% for Akira Santillan.

Akira Santillan holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 87.5 points. The rating baseline converts to 37.7% for Luca Castelnuovo and 62.3% for Akira Santillan before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Luca Castelnuovo enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (80.4% versus 74.1%). Akira Santillan has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (19.0% versus 16.0%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.