Mattia Bellucci
ITA
Age 25
Shanghai · HARD
Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer prediction
5 October 2026 · 12:45
Elias Ymer
SWE
Age 30
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer prediction, H2H and odds
Mattia Bellucci won the match with a final score of 2-1. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.
Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer statistical comparison
Mattia Bellucci and Elias Ymer are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Mattia Bellucci1666.2hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP192.3between the players
Elias Ymer1473.9hard Elo
MATTIA BELLUCCI PROFILEMattia Bellucci
View full profileITA · Age 25 · Left-handed · 175 cm · Rank 86
- Hold
- 80.8%
- Break
- 20.0%
- Aces
- 8.1%
- Return points
- 36.0%
ELIAS YMER PROFILEElias Ymer
View full profileSWE · Age 30 · Right-handed · 185 cm · Rank 192
- Hold
- 76.0%
- Break
- 15.6%
- Aces
- 6.1%
- Return points
- 34.6%
Market prices for Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Mattia Bellucci recent form
- –(8) Bellucci vs Alexander Shevchenko [KAZ]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · QF—
- W(8) Bellucci d. (Q) Luka Pavlovic [FRA]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R166-4 6-4
- W(8) Bellucci d. (Alt) Elias Ymer [SWE]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R326-2 6-1
- L(WC) Yi Zhou [CHN] d. (Q) Bellucci07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-4 3-6 7-6(4)
- W(5) Bellucci d. (19) Alexandre Muller [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q26-4 6-2
Elias Ymer recent form
- L(8) Mattia Bellucci [ITA] d. (Alt) Ymer12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R326-2 6-1
- L(5) Mattia Bellucci [ITA] d. Ymer07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q14-6 7-5 7-6(3)
- L(6) Alexis Galarneau [CAN] d. Ymer23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · Q17-5 6-4
- LMarat Sharipov [RUS] d. (7) Ymer14-Sep-2026 · Guangzhou Huangpu CH · Hard · QF7-6(4) 6-3
- W(7) Ymer d. Luca Castelnuovo [SUI]14-Sep-2026 · Guangzhou Huangpu CH · Hard · R167-6(6) 6-4
Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer statistical comparison
Mattia Bellucci has a 48.0% win rate across 50 2026 matches. Elias Ymer has a 29.4% win rate across 17 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Mattia Bellucci is 3–1 and Elias Ymer is 1–4. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Mattia Bellucci records 80.8% of service games held and 63.9% of service points won. Elias Ymer records 76.0% of service games held and 62.1% of service points won.
On return, Mattia Bellucci records 20.0% of return games broken and 36.0% of return points won. Elias Ymer records 15.6% of return games broken and 34.6% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 8.1% for Mattia Bellucci and 6.1% for Elias Ymer.
Mattia Bellucci holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 192.3 points. The rating baseline converts to 75.2% for Mattia Bellucci and 24.8% for Elias Ymer before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Mattia Bellucci enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (80.8% versus 76.0%). Mattia Bellucci has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (20.0% versus 15.6%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.