Novak Djokovic
SRB
Age 39
Beijing · HARD
Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev prediction
5 October 2026 · 13:25
Daniil Medvedev
RUS
Age 30
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev prediction, H2H and odds
Novak Djokovic won the match with a final score of 1-0. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.
Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev statistical comparison
Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Novak Djokovic1997.1hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP60.7between the players
Daniil Medvedev1936.4hard Elo
NOVAK DJOKOVIC PROFILENovak Djokovic
View full profileSRB · Age 39 · Right-handed · 188 cm · Rank 8
- Hold
- 85.8%
- Break
- 18.4%
- Aces
- 7.9%
- Return points
- 35.4%
DANIIL MEDVEDEV PROFILEDaniil Medvedev
View full profileRUS · Age 30 · Right-handed · 198 cm · Rank 6
- Hold
- 84.4%
- Break
- 28.2%
- Aces
- 11.6%
- Return points
- 40.7%
Market prices for Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Novak Djokovic recent form
- LHubert Hurkacz [POL] d. (10) Djokovic07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 6-3
- W(6) Djokovic d. (5) Alex De Minaur [AUS]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · F7-6(3) 0-1 RET
- W(6) Djokovic d. (3) Daniil Medvedev [RUS]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · SF7-5 5-3 Def.
- W(6) Djokovic d. (1) Alexander Zverev [GER]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · QF4-6 6-4 6-4
- W(6) Djokovic d. (WC) Bu Yunchaokete [CHN]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R164-6 7-6(2) 6-2
Daniil Medvedev recent form
- –(5) Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas [GRE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R16—
- W(5) Medvedev d. (Q) Dalibor Svrcina [CZE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-2 6-3
- W(5) Medvedev d. Jan Lennard Struff [GER]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 6-4 6-3
- L(6) Novak Djokovic [SRB] d. (3) Medvedev30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · SF7-5 5-3 Def.
- W(3) Medvedev d. Francisco Cerundolo [ARG]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · QF7-6(4) 6-3
Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev statistical comparison
Novak Djokovic has a 71.4% win rate across 28 2026 matches. Daniil Medvedev has a 71.4% win rate across 63 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Novak Djokovic is 4–1 and Daniil Medvedev is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Novak Djokovic records 85.8% of service games held and 67.5% of service points won. Daniil Medvedev records 84.4% of service games held and 65.7% of service points won.
On return, Novak Djokovic records 18.4% of return games broken and 35.4% of return points won. Daniil Medvedev records 28.2% of return games broken and 40.7% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 7.9% for Novak Djokovic and 11.6% for Daniil Medvedev.
Novak Djokovic holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 84.5 points. The rating baseline converts to 61.9% for Novak Djokovic and 38.1% for Daniil Medvedev before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Novak Djokovic enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (85.8% versus 84.4%). Daniil Medvedev has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.2% versus 18.4%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.