Tokyo · HARD

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka prediction

6 October 2026 · 11:00

Carlos Alcaraz — Flashscore photo

Carlos Alcaraz

ESP

Age 23

Overall Elo
2171.0
Hard Elo
2079.8
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Jiri Lehecka — Flashscore photo

Jiri Lehecka

CZE

Age 24

Overall Elo
1972.0
Hard Elo
1903.3
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka prediction, H2H and odds

Carlos Alcaraz faces Jiri Lehecka at Tokyo on 6 October 2026 at 11:00. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.29 and 3.88.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka statistical comparison

Carlos Alcaraz and Jiri Lehecka are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD33–6Carlos Alcaraz
RECENT FORM4–1Carlos Alcaraz · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Jiri Lehecka · last 5
2026 RECORD35–19Jiri Lehecka
Carlos Alcaraz2079.8hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP176.5between the players
Jiri Lehecka1903.3hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Carlos Alcaraz1.29Market odds
Jiri Lehecka3.88Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Carlos Alcaraz recent form

  1. LZizou Bergs [BEL] d. (2) Alcaraz07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-5 7-6(4)
  2. W(2) Alcaraz d. Juan Manuel Cerundolo [ARG]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-3 6-3
  3. W(1) Alcaraz d. Jiri Lehecka [CZE]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · F7-6(4) 6-4
  4. W(1) Alcaraz d. (Q) Jaume Munar [ESP]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · SF5-7 6-3 6-1
  5. W(1) Alcaraz d. Denis Shapovalov [CAN]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · QF7-6(3) 2-1 RET
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Jiri Lehecka recent form

  1. L(12) Rafael Jodar [ESP] d. (22) Lehecka07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R324-6 7-6(2) 6-4
  2. W(22) Lehecka d. Nuno Borges [POR]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-3 3-6 6-3
  3. L(1) Carlos Alcaraz [ESP] d. Lehecka30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · F7-6(4) 6-4
  4. WLehecka d. (8) Valentin Vacherot [MON]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · SF6-4 6-2
  5. WLehecka d. (Q) Adolfo Daniel Vallejo [PAR]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · QF6-1 6-1
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka statistical comparison

Carlos Alcaraz has a 84.6% win rate across 39 2026 matches. Jiri Lehecka has a 64.8% win rate across 54 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Carlos Alcaraz is 4–1 and Jiri Lehecka is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Carlos Alcaraz records 87.2% of service games held and 67.2% of service points won. Jiri Lehecka records 88.3% of service games held and 68.1% of service points won.

On return, Carlos Alcaraz records 31.4% of return games broken and 42.0% of return points won. Jiri Lehecka records 18.5% of return games broken and 35.3% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 5.5% for Carlos Alcaraz and 10.8% for Jiri Lehecka.

Carlos Alcaraz holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 183.0 points. The rating baseline converts to 74.1% for Carlos Alcaraz and 25.9% for Jiri Lehecka before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Jiri Lehecka enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (88.3% versus 87.2%). Carlos Alcaraz has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (31.4% versus 18.5%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.