Shanghai · HARD

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini prediction

7 October 2026 · 06:10

FINAL RESULTMatteo BerrettiniWinner1-2
Aleksandar Kovacevic — Flashscore photo

Aleksandar Kovacevic

USA

Age 28

Overall Elo
1655.0
Hard Elo
1620.3
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Matteo Berrettini — Flashscore photo

Matteo Berrettini

ITA

Age 30

Overall Elo
1825.0
Hard Elo
1779.9
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini prediction, H2H and odds

Matteo Berrettini won the match with a final score of 1-2. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini statistical comparison

Aleksandar Kovacevic and Matteo Berrettini are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD18–27Aleksandar Kovacevic
RECENT FORM1–4Aleksandar Kovacevic · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM2–3Matteo Berrettini · last 5
2026 RECORD21–18Matteo Berrettini
Aleksandar Kovacevic1620.3hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP159.6between the players
Matteo Berrettini1779.9hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Aleksandar Kovacevic2.51Market odds
Matteo Berrettini1.54Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Aleksandar Kovacevic recent form

  1. LMatteo Berrettini [ITA] d. Kovacevic07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-7(3) 6-1 6-4
  2. L(4) Jaume Munar [ESP] d. (8) Kovacevic30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · Q26-2 6-3
  3. W(8) Kovacevic d. Zachary Svajda [USA]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · Q16-7(7) 6-2 6-4
  4. L(Q) Lloyd Harris [RSA] d. Kovacevic23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · R326-3 6-4
  5. L(22) Valentin Vacherot [MON] d. Kovacevic31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1286-2 6-3 7-5
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Matteo Berrettini recent form

  1. L(16) Brandon Nakashima [USA] d. Berrettini07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R647-6(4) 7-5
  2. WBerrettini d. Aleksandar Kovacevic [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-7(3) 6-1 6-4
  3. L(Q) Adolfo Daniel Vallejo [PAR] d. Berrettini30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R167-6(6) 6-1
  4. WBerrettini d. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina [ESP]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R321-6 7-6(1) 6-4
  5. LMariano Navone [ARG] d. Berrettini31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R643-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(4)
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini statistical comparison

Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 40.0% win rate across 45 2026 matches. Matteo Berrettini has a 53.8% win rate across 39 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Aleksandar Kovacevic is 1–4 and Matteo Berrettini is 2–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Aleksandar Kovacevic records 85.0% of service games held and 66.9% of service points won. Matteo Berrettini records 85.6% of service games held and 68.0% of service points won.

On return, Aleksandar Kovacevic records 10.7% of return games broken and 30.1% of return points won. Matteo Berrettini records 15.4% of return games broken and 33.7% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 13.0% for Aleksandar Kovacevic and 11.2% for Matteo Berrettini.

Matteo Berrettini holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 152.2 points. The rating baseline converts to 29.4% for Aleksandar Kovacevic and 70.6% for Matteo Berrettini before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Matteo Berrettini enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (85.6% versus 85.0%). Matteo Berrettini has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (15.4% versus 10.7%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.