Bernard Tomic
AUS
Age 33
Shanghai · HARD
Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi prediction
8 October 2026 · 08:00
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
Age 25
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi prediction, H2H and odds
Matteo Arnaldi won the match with a final score of 0-2. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.
Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi statistical comparison
Bernard Tomic and Matteo Arnaldi are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Bernard Tomic1492.6hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP183.9between the players
Matteo Arnaldi1676.5hard Elo
BERNARD TOMIC PROFILEBernard Tomic
View full profileAUS · Age 33 · Right-handed · 196 cm · Rank 185
- Hold
- 80.3%
- Break
- 23.4%
- Aces
- 7.6%
- Return points
- 37.1%
MATTEO ARNALDI PROFILEMatteo Arnaldi
View full profileITA · Age 25 · Right-handed · 185 cm · Rank 38
- Hold
- 70.9%
- Break
- 23.1%
- Aces
- 5.7%
- Return points
- 37.6%
Market prices for Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Bernard Tomic recent form
- LDane Sweeny [AUS] d. Tomic12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R322-2 RET
- LMatteo Arnaldi [ITA] d. (Q) Tomic07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-3 6-1
- WTomic d. Timofey Skatov [KAZ]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q27-5 6-4
- WTomic d. (8) Terence Atmane [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q16-3 4-6 5-3 RET
- LFajing Sun [CHN] d. (3) Tomic23-Sep-2026 · Hangzhou · Hard · Q26-4 7-5
Matteo Arnaldi recent form
- L(11) Taylor Fritz [USA] d. Arnaldi07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R647-5 6-4
- WArnaldi d. (Q) Bernard Tomic [AUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-3 6-1
- L(1) Carlos Alcaraz [ESP] d. Arnaldi30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R167-6(6) 6-1
- WArnaldi d. (WC) Rei Sakamoto [JPN]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R322-6 6-4 6-4
- LJames Duckworth [AUS] d. (30) Arnaldi31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1285-7 6-3 6-2 7-6(8)
Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi statistical comparison
Bernard Tomic has a 53.7% win rate across 41 2026 matches. Matteo Arnaldi has a 50.0% win rate across 32 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Bernard Tomic is 2–3 and Matteo Arnaldi is 2–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Bernard Tomic records 80.3% of service games held and 63.7% of service points won. Matteo Arnaldi records 70.9% of service games held and 59.8% of service points won.
On return, Bernard Tomic records 23.4% of return games broken and 37.1% of return points won. Matteo Arnaldi records 23.1% of return games broken and 37.6% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 7.6% for Bernard Tomic and 5.7% for Matteo Arnaldi.
Matteo Arnaldi holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 194.2 points. The rating baseline converts to 24.6% for Bernard Tomic and 75.4% for Matteo Arnaldi before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Bernard Tomic enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (80.3% versus 70.9%). Bernard Tomic has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (23.4% versus 23.1%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Bernard Tomic vs Matteo Arnaldi H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.