Shanghai · HARD

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin prediction

8 October 2026 · 06:10

FINAL RESULTCamilo Ugo CarabelliWinner2-1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli — Flashscore photo

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

ARG

Age 27

Overall Elo
1674.0
Hard Elo
1564.2
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
IS

Ilia Simakin

RUS

Age 22

Flashscore photo unavailable.

Overall Elo
1667.0
Hard Elo
1675.1
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin prediction, H2H and odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli won the match with a final score of 2-1. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin statistical comparison

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Ilia Simakin are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD22–24Camilo Ugo Carabelli
RECENT FORM1–4Camilo Ugo Carabelli · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Ilia Simakin · last 5
2026 RECORD36–16Ilia Simakin
Camilo Ugo Carabelli1564.2hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP110.9between the players
Ilia Simakin1675.1hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli2.92Market odds
Ilia Simakin1.43Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Camilo Ugo Carabelli recent form

  1. L(4) Felix Auger Aliassime [CAN] d. Ugo Carabelli07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 7-6(1) 7-5
  2. WUgo Carabelli d. (Q) Ilia Simakin [RUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1282-6 6-2 7-5
  3. LRinky Hijikata [AUS] d. (7) Ugo Carabelli30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · Q16-2 6-3
  4. L(LL) Federico Cina [ITA] d. Ugo Carabelli23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · R326-3 6-2
  5. LJan Lennard Struff [GER] d. Ugo Carabelli31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1286-4 6-3 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Ilia Simakin recent form

  1. L(5) Martin Landaluce [ESP] d. Simakin12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R326-3 6-3
  2. LCamilo Ugo Carabelli [ARG] d. (Q) Simakin07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1282-6 6-2 7-5
  3. W(24) Simakin d. (WC) Rigele Te [CHN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q26-3 6-2
  4. W(24) Simakin d. Luka Pavlovic [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q14-6 6-4 6-1
  5. W(4) Simakin d. (3) Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez [MEX]14-Sep-2026 · Phan Thiet 4 CH · Hard · F6-7(4) 6-4 6-3
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin statistical comparison

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 47.8% win rate across 46 2026 matches. Ilia Simakin has a 69.2% win rate across 52 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 1–4 and Ilia Simakin is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli records 73.1% of service games held and 59.9% of service points won. Ilia Simakin records 81.8% of service games held and 64.9% of service points won.

On return, Camilo Ugo Carabelli records 22.3% of return games broken and 36.9% of return points won. Ilia Simakin records 25.6% of return games broken and 39.1% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 4.2% for Camilo Ugo Carabelli and 9.0% for Ilia Simakin.

Ilia Simakin holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 121.2 points. The rating baseline converts to 33.2% for Camilo Ugo Carabelli and 66.8% for Ilia Simakin before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Ilia Simakin enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (81.8% versus 73.1%). Ilia Simakin has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (25.6% versus 22.3%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.