Shanghai · HARD

Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez prediction

8 October 2026 · 09:15

FINAL RESULTSebastian BaezWinner1-2
Marcos Giron — Flashscore photo

Marcos Giron

USA

Age 33

Overall Elo
1685.0
Hard Elo
1660.1
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Sebastian Baez — Flashscore photo

Sebastian Baez

ARG

Age 25

Overall Elo
1740.0
Hard Elo
1702.0
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez prediction, H2H and odds

Sebastian Baez won the match with a final score of 1-2. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez statistical comparison

Marcos Giron and Sebastian Baez are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD17–22Marcos Giron
RECENT FORM0–5Marcos Giron · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM1–4Sebastian Baez · last 5
2026 RECORD34–26Sebastian Baez
Marcos Giron1660.1hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP41.9between the players
Sebastian Baez1702.0hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Marcos Giron2.11Market odds
Sebastian Baez1.76Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Marcos Giron recent form

  1. LSebastian Baez [ARG] d. Giron07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1281-6 6-3 6-4
  2. L(4) Jaume Munar [ESP] d. Giron30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · Q15-7 6-1 6-4
  3. L(32) Ignacio Buse [PER] d. Giron31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1283-6 6-3 6-3 6-7(6) 6-1
  4. L(LL) Dhakshineswar Suresh [IND] d. Giron23-Aug-2026 · Winston-Salem · Hard · R646-3 7-5
  5. LHenrique Rocha [POR] d. (4) Giron13-Aug-2026 · Cincinnati Masters · Hard · Q16-4 7-6(6)
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Sebastian Baez recent form

  1. L(17) Valentin Vacherot [MON] d. Baez07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 7-6(5)
  2. WBaez d. Marcos Giron [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1281-6 6-3 6-4
  3. L(WC) Juncheng Shang [CHN] d. Baez30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R325-7 6-3 7-5
  4. LJenson Brooksby [USA] d. (8) Baez23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · R327-5 7-5
  5. L(16) Brandon Nakashima [USA] d. Baez31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1286-2 6-1 6-0
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez statistical comparison

Marcos Giron has a 43.6% win rate across 39 2026 matches. Sebastian Baez has a 56.7% win rate across 60 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Marcos Giron is 0–5 and Sebastian Baez is 1–4. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Marcos Giron records 81.2% of service games held and 64.3% of service points won. Sebastian Baez records 75.0% of service games held and 61.6% of service points won.

On return, Marcos Giron records 20.5% of return games broken and 35.3% of return points won. Sebastian Baez records 25.7% of return games broken and 38.7% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 5.4% for Marcos Giron and 2.7% for Sebastian Baez.

Sebastian Baez holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 32.1 points. The rating baseline converts to 45.4% for Marcos Giron and 54.6% for Sebastian Baez before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Marcos Giron enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (81.2% versus 75.0%). Sebastian Baez has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (25.7% versus 20.5%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.