Mariano Navone
ARG
Age 25
Shanghai · HARD
Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction
8 October 2026 · 08:20
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Age 35
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction, H2H and odds
Pablo Carreno Busta won the match with a final score of 1-2. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.
Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta statistical comparison
Mariano Navone and Pablo Carreno Busta are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Mariano Navone1741.3hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP31.6between the players
Pablo Carreno Busta1709.7hard Elo
MARIANO NAVONE PROFILEMariano Navone
View full profileARG · Age 25 · Right-handed · 178 cm · Rank 47
- Hold
- 74.3%
- Break
- 28.3%
- Aces
- 2.2%
- Return points
- 40.6%
PABLO CARRENO BUSTA PROFILEPablo Carreno Busta
View full profileESP · Age 35 · Right-handed · 188 cm · Rank 65
- Hold
- 75.7%
- Break
- 25.5%
- Aces
- 3.6%
- Return points
- 38.5%
Market prices for Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Mariano Navone recent form
- LPablo Carreno Busta [ESP] d. Navone07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1284-6 7-5 6-3
- L(5) Alex De Minaur [AUS] d. Navone30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R327-6(4) 6-2
- L(27) Tomas Martin Etcheverry [ARG] d. Navone31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R326-4 6-4 6-3
- WNavone d. Matteo Berrettini [ITA]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R643-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(4)
- WNavone d. (4) Novak Djokovic [SRB]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1287-6(5) 5-7 4-6 6-2 6-1
Pablo Carreno Busta recent form
- L(4) Felix Auger Aliassime [CAN] d. Carreno Busta07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-3 4-6 6-1
- WCarreno Busta d. (29) Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 7-6(2) 6-4
- WCarreno Busta d. Mariano Navone [ARG]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1284-6 7-5 6-3
- L(3) Daniil Medvedev [RUS] d. (Q) Carreno Busta30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R326-4 6-2
- W(7) Carreno Busta d. Adrian Mannarino [FRA]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · Q26-3 6-4
Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta statistical comparison
Mariano Navone has a 53.8% win rate across 52 2026 matches. Pablo Carreno Busta has a 54.8% win rate across 42 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Mariano Navone is 2–3 and Pablo Carreno Busta is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Mariano Navone records 74.3% of service games held and 61.1% of service points won. Pablo Carreno Busta records 75.7% of service games held and 61.6% of service points won.
On return, Mariano Navone records 28.3% of return games broken and 40.6% of return points won. Pablo Carreno Busta records 25.5% of return games broken and 38.5% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 2.2% for Mariano Navone and 3.6% for Pablo Carreno Busta.
Mariano Navone holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 15.2 points. The rating baseline converts to 52.2% for Mariano Navone and 47.8% for Pablo Carreno Busta before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Pablo Carreno Busta enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (75.7% versus 74.3%). Mariano Navone has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.3% versus 25.5%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.