Shanghai · HARD

Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan prediction

9 October 2026 · 09:00

Alex De Minaur — Flashscore photo

Alex De Minaur

AUS

Age 27

Overall Elo
1978.0
Hard Elo
1927.0
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Alex Molcan — Flashscore photo

Alex Molcan

SVK

Age 28

Overall Elo
1757.0
Hard Elo
1641.8
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan prediction, H2H and odds

Alex De Minaur faces Alex Molcan at Shanghai on 9 October 2026 at 09:00. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.34 and 3.39.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan statistical comparison

Alex De Minaur and Alex Molcan are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD44–20Alex De Minaur
RECENT FORM3–1Alex De Minaur · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Alex Molcan · last 5
2026 RECORD24–18Alex Molcan
Alex De Minaur1927.0hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP285.2between the players
Alex Molcan1641.8hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Alex De Minaur1.34Market odds
Alex Molcan3.39Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Alex De Minaur recent form

  1. –(9) De Minaur vs (1) Alexander Zverev [GER]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · QF—
  2. W(9) De Minaur d. (26) Karen Khachanov [RUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R166-3 6-4
  3. W(9) De Minaur d. (Q) Rei Sakamoto [JPN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-6(6) 6-4
  4. W(9) De Minaur d. Alex Molcan [SVK]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R64W/O
  5. L(6) Novak Djokovic [SRB] d. (5) De Minaur30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · F7-6(3) 0-1 RET
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Alex Molcan recent form

  1. L(9) Alex De Minaur [AUS] d. Molcan07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R64W/O
  2. WMolcan d. (Q) Federico Cina [ITA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1284-6 6-1 6-2
  3. LKaren Khachanov [RUS] d. (Q) Molcan30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R167-5 6-3
  4. W(Q) Molcan d. (LL) Tomas Machac [CZE]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R326-3 6-2
  5. WMolcan d. Marco Trungelliti [ARG]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · Q26-4 7-5
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan statistical comparison

Alex De Minaur has a 68.8% win rate across 64 2026 matches. Alex Molcan has a 57.1% win rate across 42 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Alex De Minaur is 3–1 and Alex Molcan is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Alex De Minaur records 81.9% of service games held and 64.5% of service points won. Alex Molcan records 77.3% of service games held and 62.6% of service points won.

On return, Alex De Minaur records 26.7% of return games broken and 39.7% of return points won. Alex Molcan records 28.9% of return games broken and 40.2% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 5.4% for Alex De Minaur and 5.1% for Alex Molcan.

Alex De Minaur holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 267.2 points. The rating baseline converts to 82.3% for Alex De Minaur and 17.7% for Alex Molcan before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Alex De Minaur enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (81.9% versus 77.3%). Alex Molcan has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.9% versus 26.7%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Alex De Minaur vs Alex Molcan H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.