Shanghai · HARD

Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac prediction

9 October 2026 · 11:45

Alexander Bublik — Flashscore photo

Alexander Bublik

KAZ

Age 29

Overall Elo
1877.0
Hard Elo
1830.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Tomas Machac — Flashscore photo

Tomas Machac

CZE

Age 26

Overall Elo
1802.0
Hard Elo
1777.9
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac prediction, H2H and odds

Alexander Bublik faces Tomas Machac at Shanghai on 9 October 2026 at 11:45. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.53 and 2.58.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac statistical comparison

Alexander Bublik and Tomas Machac are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD30–21Alexander Bublik
RECENT FORM2–3Alexander Bublik · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–1Tomas Machac · last 5
2026 RECORD18–17Tomas Machac
Alexander Bublik1830.4hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP52.5between the players
Tomas Machac1777.9hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Alexander Bublik1.53Market odds
Tomas Machac2.58Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Alexander Bublik recent form

  1. L(1) Alexander Zverev [GER] d. (19) Bublik07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R167-6(6) 4-6 7-6(1)
  2. W(19) Bublik d. (16) Brandon Nakashima [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-7(7) 6-3 7-6(5)
  3. W(19) Bublik d. Tomas Machac [CZE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 7-6(4)
  4. L(8) Jakub Mensik [CZE] d. Bublik30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R326-4 7-6(5)
  5. LRafael Jodar [ESP] d. Bublik25-Sep-2026 · Laver Cup · Hard · RR6-2 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Tomas Machac recent form

  1. –(6) Machac vs (Q) Liam Draxl [CAN]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · QF—
  2. W(6) Machac d. Aleksandar Vukic [AUS]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R166-2 6-1
  3. W(6) Machac d. Alexandre Muller [FRA]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R326-3 6-4
  4. L(19) Alexander Bublik [KAZ] d. Machac07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 7-6(4)
  5. WMachac d. (WC) Zhizhen Zhang [CHN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1281-6 7-6(3) 6-2
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac statistical comparison

Alexander Bublik has a 58.8% win rate across 51 2026 matches. Tomas Machac has a 51.4% win rate across 35 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Alexander Bublik is 2–3 and Tomas Machac is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Alexander Bublik records 86.9% of service games held and 68.3% of service points won. Tomas Machac records 77.8% of service games held and 62.0% of service points won.

On return, Alexander Bublik records 15.6% of return games broken and 33.3% of return points won. Tomas Machac records 21.2% of return games broken and 36.5% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 14.3% for Alexander Bublik and 6.0% for Tomas Machac.

Alexander Bublik holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 61.5 points. The rating baseline converts to 58.8% for Alexander Bublik and 41.2% for Tomas Machac before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Alexander Bublik enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (86.9% versus 77.8%). Tomas Machac has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (21.2% versus 15.6%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.