Shanghai · HARD

Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev prediction

9 October 2026 · 06:10

FINAL RESULTRei SakamotoWinner2-0
Rei Sakamoto — Flashscore photo

Rei Sakamoto

JPN

Age 20

Overall Elo
1634.0
Hard Elo
1624.7
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Andrey Rublev — Flashscore photo

Andrey Rublev

RUS

Age 28

Overall Elo
1893.0
Hard Elo
1835.5
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev prediction, H2H and odds

Rei Sakamoto won the match with a final score of 2-0. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev statistical comparison

Rei Sakamoto and Andrey Rublev are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD22–18Rei Sakamoto
RECENT FORM4–1Rei Sakamoto · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM2–3Andrey Rublev · last 5
2026 RECORD33–20Andrey Rublev
Rei Sakamoto1624.7hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP210.8between the players
Andrey Rublev1835.5hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Rei Sakamoto3.10Market odds
Andrey Rublev1.39Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Rei Sakamoto recent form

  1. L(9) Alex De Minaur [AUS] d. (Q) Sakamoto07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-6(6) 6-4
  2. W(Q) Sakamoto d. (23) Andrey Rublev [RUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 6-4
  3. W(Q) Sakamoto d. Marco Trungelliti [ARG]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-3 7-5
  4. W(21) Sakamoto d. (3) Kyrian Jacquet [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q27-6(6) 4-6 7-6(8)
  5. W(21) Sakamoto d. (PR) Seong Chan Hong [KOR]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q16-3 7-5
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Andrey Rublev recent form

  1. L(Q) Rei Sakamoto [JPN] d. (23) Rublev07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 6-4
  2. L(5) Alex De Minaur [AUS] d. Rublev30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · QF1-6 6-2 6-3
  3. WRublev d. (SE) Roman Safiullin [RUS]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R166-2 3-6 6-4
  4. WRublev d. Tallon Griekspoor [NED]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R326-4 5-7 7-6(6)
  5. L(1) Daniil Medvedev [RUS] d. (2) Rublev23-Sep-2026 · Hangzhou · Hard · F7-5 6-4
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev statistical comparison

Rei Sakamoto has a 55.0% win rate across 40 2026 matches. Andrey Rublev has a 62.3% win rate across 53 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Rei Sakamoto is 4–1 and Andrey Rublev is 2–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Rei Sakamoto records 83.0% of service games held and 65.3% of service points won. Andrey Rublev records 84.6% of service games held and 66.7% of service points won.

On return, Rei Sakamoto records 19.6% of return games broken and 36.1% of return points won. Andrey Rublev records 22.0% of return games broken and 37.1% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 11.1% for Rei Sakamoto and 10.0% for Andrey Rublev.

Andrey Rublev holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 234.8 points. The rating baseline converts to 20.6% for Rei Sakamoto and 79.4% for Andrey Rublev before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Andrey Rublev enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.6% versus 83.0%). Andrey Rublev has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (22.0% versus 19.6%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.