Alejandro Tabilo
CHI
Age 29
Shanghai · HARD
Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction
10 October 2026 · 08:15
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Age 35
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction, H2H and odds
Alejandro Tabilo faces Pablo Carreno Busta at Shanghai on 10 October 2026 at 08:15. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.55 and 2.51.
Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta statistical comparison
Alejandro Tabilo and Pablo Carreno Busta are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Alejandro Tabilo1752.8hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP43.1between the players
Pablo Carreno Busta1709.7hard Elo
ALEJANDRO TABILO PROFILEAlejandro Tabilo
View full profileCHI · Age 29 · Left-handed · 188 cm · Rank 30
- Hold
- 83.3%
- Break
- 20.9%
- Aces
- 7.6%
- Return points
- 36.5%
PABLO CARRENO BUSTA PROFILEPablo Carreno Busta
View full profileESP · Age 35 · Right-handed · 188 cm · Rank 65
- Hold
- 75.7%
- Break
- 25.5%
- Aces
- 3.6%
- Return points
- 38.5%
Market prices for Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Alejandro Tabilo recent form
- LPablo Carreno Busta [ESP] d. (29) Tabilo07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 7-6(2) 6-4
- LDenis Shapovalov [CAN] d. Tabilo30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R167-5 3-6 6-4
- WTabilo d. (7) Tommy Paul [USA]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-1 6-2
- LAdrian Mannarino [FRA] d. (3) Tabilo23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · R166-4 6-4
- LDaniel Merida Aguilar [ESP] d. Tabilo19-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup QLS R2: ESP vs CHI · Clay · RR5-7 6-3 6-3
Pablo Carreno Busta recent form
- L(4) Felix Auger Aliassime [CAN] d. Carreno Busta07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-3 4-6 6-1
- WCarreno Busta d. (29) Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 7-6(2) 6-4
- WCarreno Busta d. Mariano Navone [ARG]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1284-6 7-5 6-3
- L(3) Daniil Medvedev [RUS] d. (Q) Carreno Busta30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R326-4 6-2
- W(7) Carreno Busta d. Adrian Mannarino [FRA]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · Q26-3 6-4
Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta statistical comparison
Alejandro Tabilo has a 57.6% win rate across 66 2026 matches. Pablo Carreno Busta has a 54.8% win rate across 42 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Alejandro Tabilo is 1–4 and Pablo Carreno Busta is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Alejandro Tabilo records 83.3% of service games held and 66.1% of service points won. Pablo Carreno Busta records 75.7% of service games held and 61.6% of service points won.
On return, Alejandro Tabilo records 20.9% of return games broken and 36.5% of return points won. Pablo Carreno Busta records 25.5% of return games broken and 38.5% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 7.6% for Alejandro Tabilo and 3.6% for Pablo Carreno Busta.
Alejandro Tabilo holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 41.9 points. The rating baseline converts to 56.0% for Alejandro Tabilo and 44.0% for Pablo Carreno Busta before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Alejandro Tabilo enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (83.3% versus 75.7%). Pablo Carreno Busta has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (25.5% versus 20.9%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.