Shanghai · HARD

Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov prediction

10 October 2026 · 09:50

Arthur Fils — Flashscore photo

Arthur Fils

FRA

Age 22

Overall Elo
2038.0
Hard Elo
1973.6
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Pavel Kotov — Flashscore photo

Pavel Kotov

RUS

Age 27

Overall Elo
1602.0
Hard Elo
1601.3
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov prediction, H2H and odds

Arthur Fils faces Pavel Kotov at Shanghai on 10 October 2026 at 09:50. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.10 and 7.75.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov statistical comparison

Arthur Fils and Pavel Kotov are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD35–13Arthur Fils
RECENT FORM3–2Arthur Fils · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Pavel Kotov · last 5
2026 RECORD27–13Pavel Kotov
Arthur Fils1973.6hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP372.3between the players
Pavel Kotov1601.3hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Arthur Fils1.10Market odds
Pavel Kotov7.75Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Arthur Fils recent form

  1. LBotic Van De Zandschulp [NED] d. (8) Fils07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-5 6-4
  2. W(8) Fils d. (Q) Pavel Kotov [RUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-3 6-4
  3. L(8) Valentin Vacherot [MON] d. (Q) Fils30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · QF7-5 4-6 6-4
  4. W(Q) Fils d. (2) Frances Tiafoe [USA]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R166-3 7-5
  5. W(Q) Fils d. Luca Van Assche [FRA]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-3 6-2
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Pavel Kotov recent form

  1. L(3) Vit Kopriva [CZE] d. (Alt) Kotov12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R326-1 4-1 RET
  2. L(8) Arthur Fils [FRA] d. (Q) Kotov07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-3 6-4
  3. W(Q) Kotov d. Tallon Griekspoor [NED]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-4 7-6(4)
  4. WKotov d. (13) Aleksandar Vukic [AUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q26-3 6-3
  5. WKotov d. (10) Martin Damm [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q17-6(4) 6-7(4) 6-3
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov statistical comparison

Arthur Fils has a 72.9% win rate across 48 2026 matches. Pavel Kotov has a 67.5% win rate across 40 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Arthur Fils is 3–2 and Pavel Kotov is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Arthur Fils records 86.3% of service games held and 67.9% of service points won. Pavel Kotov records 82.2% of service games held and 66.1% of service points won.

On return, Arthur Fils records 22.6% of return games broken and 36.8% of return points won. Pavel Kotov records 21.5% of return games broken and 36.9% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 7.9% for Arthur Fils and 8.3% for Pavel Kotov.

Arthur Fils holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 377.9 points. The rating baseline converts to 89.8% for Arthur Fils and 10.2% for Pavel Kotov before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Arthur Fils enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (86.3% versus 82.2%). Arthur Fils has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (22.6% versus 21.5%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.