Shanghai · HARD

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime prediction

10 October 2026 · Live

Camilo Ugo Carabelli — Flashscore photo

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

ARG

Age 27

Overall Elo
1674.0
Hard Elo
1564.2
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Felix Auger Aliassime — Flashscore photo

Felix Auger Aliassime

CAN

Age 26

Overall Elo
1960.0
Hard Elo
1936.2
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime prediction, H2H and odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli faces Felix Auger Aliassime at Shanghai on 10 October 2026. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 6.81 and 1.12.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime statistical comparison

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Felix Auger Aliassime are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD22–24Camilo Ugo Carabelli
RECENT FORM1–4Camilo Ugo Carabelli · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Felix Auger Aliassime · last 5
2026 RECORD37–18Felix Auger Aliassime
Camilo Ugo Carabelli1564.2hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP372.0between the players
Felix Auger Aliassime1936.2hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli6.81Market odds
Felix Auger Aliassime1.12Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Camilo Ugo Carabelli recent form

  1. L(4) Felix Auger Aliassime [CAN] d. Ugo Carabelli07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 7-6(1) 7-5
  2. WUgo Carabelli d. (Q) Ilia Simakin [RUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1282-6 6-2 7-5
  3. LRinky Hijikata [AUS] d. (7) Ugo Carabelli30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · Q16-2 6-3
  4. L(LL) Federico Cina [ITA] d. Ugo Carabelli23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · R326-3 6-2
  5. LJan Lennard Struff [GER] d. Ugo Carabelli31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1286-4 6-3 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Felix Auger Aliassime recent form

  1. L(20) Casper Ruud [NOR] d. (4) Auger Aliassime07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R165-2 RET
  2. W(4) Auger Aliassime d. Pablo Carreno Busta [ESP]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-3 4-6 6-1
  3. W(4) Auger Aliassime d. Camilo Ugo Carabelli [ARG]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 7-6(1) 7-5
  4. LKaren Khachanov [RUS] d. (2) Auger Aliassime30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R326-3 6-3
  5. WAuger Aliassime d. Quentin Halys [FRA]18-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup QLS R2: FRA vs CAN · Hard · RR7-6(5) 4-6 6-3
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime statistical comparison

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 47.8% win rate across 46 2026 matches. Felix Auger Aliassime has a 67.3% win rate across 55 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 1–4 and Felix Auger Aliassime is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli records 73.1% of service games held and 59.9% of service points won. Felix Auger Aliassime records 88.6% of service games held and 69.5% of service points won.

On return, Camilo Ugo Carabelli records 22.3% of return games broken and 36.9% of return points won. Felix Auger Aliassime records 18.5% of return games broken and 35.3% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 4.2% for Camilo Ugo Carabelli and 14.0% for Felix Auger Aliassime.

Felix Auger Aliassime holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 367.5 points. The rating baseline converts to 10.8% for Camilo Ugo Carabelli and 89.2% for Felix Auger Aliassime before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Felix Auger Aliassime enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (88.6% versus 73.1%). Camilo Ugo Carabelli has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (22.3% versus 18.5%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.