Shanghai · HARD

Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot prediction

10 October 2026 · 13:30

Sebastian Baez — Flashscore photo

Sebastian Baez

ARG

Age 25

Overall Elo
1740.0
Hard Elo
1702.0
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Valentin Vacherot — Flashscore photo

Valentin Vacherot

MON

Age 27

Overall Elo
1880.0
Hard Elo
1787.8
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot prediction, H2H and odds

Sebastian Baez faces Valentin Vacherot at Shanghai on 10 October 2026 at 13:30. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 3.65 and 1.30.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot statistical comparison

Sebastian Baez and Valentin Vacherot are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD34–26Sebastian Baez
RECENT FORM1–4Sebastian Baez · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Valentin Vacherot · last 5
2026 RECORD25–18Valentin Vacherot
Sebastian Baez1702.0hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP85.8between the players
Valentin Vacherot1787.8hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Sebastian Baez3.65Market odds
Valentin Vacherot1.30Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Sebastian Baez recent form

  1. L(17) Valentin Vacherot [MON] d. Baez07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 7-6(5)
  2. WBaez d. Marcos Giron [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1281-6 6-3 6-4
  3. L(WC) Juncheng Shang [CHN] d. Baez30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R325-7 6-3 7-5
  4. LJenson Brooksby [USA] d. (8) Baez23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · R327-5 7-5
  5. L(16) Brandon Nakashima [USA] d. Baez31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1286-2 6-1 6-0
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Valentin Vacherot recent form

  1. L(15) Tommy Paul [USA] d. (17) Vacherot07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-4 6-2
  2. W(17) Vacherot d. Sebastian Baez [ARG]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 7-6(5)
  3. LJiri Lehecka [CZE] d. (8) Vacherot30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · SF6-4 6-2
  4. W(8) Vacherot d. (Q) Arthur Fils [FRA]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · QF7-5 4-6 6-4
  5. W(8) Vacherot d. (Q) Stefanos Tsitsipas [GRE]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R164-6 7-6(5) 6-4
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot statistical comparison

Sebastian Baez has a 56.7% win rate across 60 2026 matches. Valentin Vacherot has a 58.1% win rate across 43 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Sebastian Baez is 1–4 and Valentin Vacherot is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Sebastian Baez records 75.0% of service games held and 61.6% of service points won. Valentin Vacherot records 84.1% of service games held and 67.1% of service points won.

On return, Sebastian Baez records 25.7% of return games broken and 38.7% of return points won. Valentin Vacherot records 17.1% of return games broken and 34.3% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 2.7% for Sebastian Baez and 12.6% for Valentin Vacherot.

Valentin Vacherot holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 151.4 points. The rating baseline converts to 29.5% for Sebastian Baez and 70.5% for Valentin Vacherot before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Valentin Vacherot enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.1% versus 75.0%). Sebastian Baez has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (25.7% versus 17.1%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.