Shanghai · HARD

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe prediction

11 October 2026 · 14:50

FINAL RESULTAlejandro Davidovich FokinaWinner2-1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — Flashscore photo

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

ESP

Age 27

Overall Elo
1907.0
Hard Elo
1871.0
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Frances Tiafoe — Flashscore photo

Frances Tiafoe

USA

Age 28

Overall Elo
1954.0
Hard Elo
1911.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe prediction, H2H and odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won the match with a final score of 2-1. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe statistical comparison

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Frances Tiafoe are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD30–17Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
RECENT FORM3–1Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM2–3Frances Tiafoe · last 5
2026 RECORD44–19Frances Tiafoe
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina1871.0hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP40.4between the players
Frances Tiafoe1911.4hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina1.94Market odds
Frances Tiafoe1.91Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina recent form

  1. –(25) Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur Gea [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · QF—
  2. W(25) Davidovich Fokina d. Hubert Hurkacz [POL]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R161-6 6-3 7-6(6)
  3. W(25) Davidovich Fokina d. (7) Frances Tiafoe [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-6(4) 4-6 7-6(6)
  4. W(25) Davidovich Fokina d. Jenson Brooksby [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-1 6-3
  5. LMatteo Berrettini [ITA] d. Davidovich Fokina30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R321-6 7-6(1) 6-4
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Frances Tiafoe recent form

  1. L(25) Alejandro Davidovich Fokina [ESP] d. (7) Tiafoe07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-6(4) 4-6 7-6(6)
  2. W(7) Tiafoe d. Yannick Hanfmann [GER]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 6-4
  3. L(Q) Arthur Fils [FRA] d. (2) Tiafoe30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R166-3 7-5
  4. W(2) Tiafoe d. (WC) Kei Nishikori [JPN]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-4 6-4
  5. L(8) Ben Shelton [USA] d. (11) Tiafoe31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · SF4-6 6-3 6-3 7-5
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe statistical comparison

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 63.8% win rate across 47 2026 matches. Frances Tiafoe has a 69.8% win rate across 63 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 3–1 and Frances Tiafoe is 2–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina records 85.6% of service games held and 67.1% of service points won. Frances Tiafoe records 84.8% of service games held and 66.3% of service points won.

On return, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina records 20.4% of return games broken and 36.3% of return points won. Frances Tiafoe records 21.6% of return games broken and 35.6% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 6.2% for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and 7.3% for Frances Tiafoe.

Frances Tiafoe holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 51.5 points. The rating baseline converts to 42.6% for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and 57.4% for Frances Tiafoe before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (85.6% versus 84.8%). Frances Tiafoe has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (21.6% versus 20.4%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.