Shanghai · HARD

Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino prediction

11 October 2026 · 06:10

FINAL RESULTKaren KhachanovWinner2-0
Karen Khachanov — Flashscore photo

Karen Khachanov

RUS

Age 30

Overall Elo
1850.0
Hard Elo
1791.5
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Adrian Mannarino — Flashscore photo

Adrian Mannarino

FRA

Age 38

Overall Elo
1680.0
Hard Elo
1648.7
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino prediction, H2H and odds

Karen Khachanov won the match with a final score of 2-0. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino statistical comparison

Karen Khachanov and Adrian Mannarino are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD25–21Karen Khachanov
RECENT FORM3–2Karen Khachanov · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Adrian Mannarino · last 5
2026 RECORD20–31Adrian Mannarino
Karen Khachanov1791.5hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP142.8between the players
Adrian Mannarino1648.7hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Karen Khachanov1.31Market odds
Adrian Mannarino3.53Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Karen Khachanov recent form

  1. L(9) Alex De Minaur [AUS] d. (26) Khachanov07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R166-3 6-4
  2. W(26) Khachanov d. Adrian Mannarino [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-2 6-4
  3. W(26) Khachanov d. Arthur Fery [GBR]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R647-6(6) 6-7(5) 7-6(2)
  4. LHubert Hurkacz [POL] d. Khachanov30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · QF7-6(2) 6-2
  5. WKhachanov d. (Q) Alex Molcan [SVK]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R167-5 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Adrian Mannarino recent form

  1. L(26) Karen Khachanov [RUS] d. Mannarino07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-2 6-4
  2. WMannarino d. (6) Flavio Cobolli [ITA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-1 4-6 6-3
  3. WMannarino d. (Q) Nikoloz Basilashvili [GEO]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-3 2-2 RET
  4. L(7) Pablo Carreno Busta [ESP] d. Mannarino30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · Q26-3 6-4
  5. WMannarino d. (3) Miomir Kecmanovic [SRB]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · Q17-6(6) 3-6 7-6(5)
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino statistical comparison

Karen Khachanov has a 54.3% win rate across 46 2026 matches. Adrian Mannarino has a 39.2% win rate across 51 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Karen Khachanov is 3–2 and Adrian Mannarino is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Karen Khachanov records 86.9% of service games held and 67.7% of service points won. Adrian Mannarino records 75.3% of service games held and 62.3% of service points won.

On return, Karen Khachanov records 20.1% of return games broken and 35.8% of return points won. Adrian Mannarino records 18.8% of return games broken and 34.9% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 9.1% for Karen Khachanov and 6.0% for Adrian Mannarino.

Karen Khachanov holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 151.7 points. The rating baseline converts to 70.5% for Karen Khachanov and 29.5% for Adrian Mannarino before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Karen Khachanov enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (86.9% versus 75.3%). Karen Khachanov has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (20.1% versus 18.8%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.