Shanghai · HARD

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot prediction

12 October 2026 · Live

Tommy Paul — Flashscore photo

Tommy Paul

USA

Age 29

Overall Elo
1937.0
Hard Elo
1872.2
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Valentin Vacherot — Flashscore photo

Valentin Vacherot

MON

Age 27

Overall Elo
1880.0
Hard Elo
1835.6
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot prediction, H2H and odds

Tommy Paul faces Valentin Vacherot at Shanghai on 12 October 2026. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.67 and 2.25.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot statistical comparison

Tommy Paul and Valentin Vacherot are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD41–19Tommy Paul
RECENT FORM2–2Tommy Paul · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Valentin Vacherot · last 5
2026 RECORD25–18Valentin Vacherot
Tommy Paul1872.2hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP36.6between the players
Valentin Vacherot1835.6hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Tommy Paul1.67Market odds
Valentin Vacherot2.25Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Tommy Paul recent form

  1. –(15) Paul vs Zizou Bergs [BEL]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R16—
  2. W(15) Paul d. (17) Valentin Vacherot [MON]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-4 6-2
  3. W(15) Paul d. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo [PAR]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-2 6-2
  4. LAlejandro Tabilo [CHI] d. (7) Paul30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-1 6-2
  5. L(2) Carlos Alcaraz [ESP] d. (20) Paul31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R166-4 6-3 6-4
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Valentin Vacherot recent form

  1. L(15) Tommy Paul [USA] d. (17) Vacherot07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-4 6-2
  2. W(17) Vacherot d. Sebastian Baez [ARG]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-4 7-6(5)
  3. LJiri Lehecka [CZE] d. (8) Vacherot30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · SF6-4 6-2
  4. W(8) Vacherot d. (Q) Arthur Fils [FRA]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · QF7-5 4-6 6-4
  5. W(8) Vacherot d. (Q) Stefanos Tsitsipas [GRE]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R164-6 7-6(5) 6-4
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot statistical comparison

Tommy Paul has a 68.3% win rate across 60 2026 matches. Valentin Vacherot has a 58.1% win rate across 43 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Tommy Paul is 2–2 and Valentin Vacherot is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Tommy Paul records 84.5% of service games held and 66.7% of service points won. Valentin Vacherot records 84.1% of service games held and 67.1% of service points won.

On return, Tommy Paul records 24.7% of return games broken and 38.4% of return points won. Valentin Vacherot records 17.1% of return games broken and 34.3% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 8.3% for Tommy Paul and 12.6% for Valentin Vacherot.

Tommy Paul holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 36.6 points. The rating baseline converts to 55.2% for Tommy Paul and 44.8% for Valentin Vacherot before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Tommy Paul enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.5% versus 84.1%). Tommy Paul has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (24.7% versus 17.1%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.