Shanghai · HARD

Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction

12 October 2026 · 12:10

FINAL RESULTZizou BergsWinner2-0
Zizou Bergs — Flashscore photo

Zizou Bergs

BEL

Age 27

Overall Elo
1775.0
Hard Elo
1718.6
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Carlos Alcaraz — Flashscore photo

Carlos Alcaraz

ESP

Age 23

Overall Elo
2171.0
Hard Elo
2111.3
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction, H2H and odds

Zizou Bergs won the match with a final score of 2-0. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz statistical comparison

Zizou Bergs and Carlos Alcaraz are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD28–25Zizou Bergs
RECENT FORM3–1Zizou Bergs · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM4–1Carlos Alcaraz · last 5
2026 RECORD33–6Carlos Alcaraz
Zizou Bergs1718.6hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP392.7between the players
Carlos Alcaraz2111.3hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Zizou Bergs9.95Market odds
Carlos Alcaraz1.06Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Zizou Bergs recent form

  1. –Bergs vs (15) Tommy Paul [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R16—
  2. WBergs d. (2) Carlos Alcaraz [ESP]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-5 7-6(4)
  3. WBergs d. (32) Ignacio Buse [PER]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-0 6-3
  4. WBergs d. Vit Kopriva [CZE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-3 6-1
  5. LJiri Lehecka [CZE] d. Bergs30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-3 6-7(3) 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Carlos Alcaraz recent form

  1. LZizou Bergs [BEL] d. (2) Alcaraz07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-5 7-6(4)
  2. W(2) Alcaraz d. Juan Manuel Cerundolo [ARG]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-3 6-3
  3. W(1) Alcaraz d. Jiri Lehecka [CZE]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · F7-6(4) 6-4
  4. W(1) Alcaraz d. (Q) Jaume Munar [ESP]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · SF5-7 6-3 6-1
  5. W(1) Alcaraz d. Denis Shapovalov [CAN]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · QF7-6(3) 2-1 RET
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz statistical comparison

Zizou Bergs has a 52.8% win rate across 53 2026 matches. Carlos Alcaraz has a 84.6% win rate across 39 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Zizou Bergs is 3–1 and Carlos Alcaraz is 4–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Zizou Bergs records 82.3% of service games held and 64.9% of service points won. Carlos Alcaraz records 87.2% of service games held and 67.2% of service points won.

On return, Zizou Bergs records 22.8% of return games broken and 37.7% of return points won. Carlos Alcaraz records 31.4% of return games broken and 42.0% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 9.3% for Zizou Bergs and 5.5% for Carlos Alcaraz.

Carlos Alcaraz holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 392.7 points. The rating baseline converts to 9.4% for Zizou Bergs and 90.6% for Carlos Alcaraz before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Carlos Alcaraz enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (87.2% versus 82.3%). Carlos Alcaraz has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (31.4% versus 22.8%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.