Alex De Minaur
AUS
Age 27
Shanghai · HARD
Alex De Minaur vs Karen Khachanov prediction
13 October 2026 · 06:10
Karen Khachanov
RUS
Age 30
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Alex De Minaur vs Karen Khachanov prediction, H2H and odds
Alex De Minaur won the match with a final score of 2-0. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.
Alex De Minaur vs Karen Khachanov statistical comparison
Alex De Minaur and Karen Khachanov are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Alex De Minaur1943.5hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP141.1between the players
Karen Khachanov1802.4hard Elo
ALEX DE MINAUR PROFILEAlex De Minaur
View full profileAUS · Age 27 · Right-handed · 183 cm · Rank 9
- Hold
- 81.9%
- Break
- 26.7%
- Aces
- 5.4%
- Return points
- 39.7%
KAREN KHACHANOV PROFILEKaren Khachanov
View full profileRUS · Age 30 · Right-handed · 198 cm · Rank 27
- Hold
- 86.9%
- Break
- 20.1%
- Aces
- 9.1%
- Return points
- 35.8%
Market prices for Alex De Minaur vs Karen Khachanov
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Alex De Minaur recent form
- –(9) De Minaur vs (1) Alexander Zverev [GER]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · QF—
- W(9) De Minaur d. (26) Karen Khachanov [RUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R166-3 6-4
- W(9) De Minaur d. (Q) Rei Sakamoto [JPN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R327-6(6) 6-4
- W(9) De Minaur d. Alex Molcan [SVK]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R64W/O
- L(6) Novak Djokovic [SRB] d. (5) De Minaur30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · F7-6(3) 0-1 RET
Karen Khachanov recent form
- L(9) Alex De Minaur [AUS] d. (26) Khachanov07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R166-3 6-4
- W(26) Khachanov d. Adrian Mannarino [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-2 6-4
- W(26) Khachanov d. Arthur Fery [GBR]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R647-6(6) 6-7(5) 7-6(2)
- LHubert Hurkacz [POL] d. Khachanov30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · QF7-6(2) 6-2
- WKhachanov d. (Q) Alex Molcan [SVK]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R167-5 6-3
Alex De Minaur vs Karen Khachanov statistical comparison
Alex De Minaur has a 68.8% win rate across 64 2026 matches. Karen Khachanov has a 54.3% win rate across 46 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Alex De Minaur is 3–1 and Karen Khachanov is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Alex De Minaur records 81.9% of service games held and 64.5% of service points won. Karen Khachanov records 86.9% of service games held and 67.7% of service points won.
On return, Alex De Minaur records 26.7% of return games broken and 39.7% of return points won. Karen Khachanov records 20.1% of return games broken and 35.8% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 5.4% for Alex De Minaur and 9.1% for Karen Khachanov.
Alex De Minaur holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 141.1 points. The rating baseline converts to 69.3% for Alex De Minaur and 30.7% for Karen Khachanov before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Karen Khachanov enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (86.9% versus 81.9%). Alex De Minaur has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (26.7% versus 20.1%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Alex De Minaur vs Karen Khachanov prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Alex De Minaur vs Karen Khachanov H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.