Jinan · HARD

Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci prediction

13 October 2026 · 10:10

FINAL RESULTMattia BellucciWinner0-2
Elias Ymer — Flashscore photo

Elias Ymer

SWE

Age 30

Overall Elo
1505.0
Hard Elo
1473.9
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Mattia Bellucci — Flashscore photo

Mattia Bellucci

ITA

Age 25

Overall Elo
1714.0
Hard Elo
1666.2
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci prediction, H2H and odds

Mattia Bellucci won the match with a final score of 0-2. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci statistical comparison

Elias Ymer and Mattia Bellucci are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD5–12Elias Ymer
RECENT FORM1–4Elias Ymer · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–1Mattia Bellucci · last 5
2026 RECORD24–26Mattia Bellucci
Elias Ymer1473.9hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP192.3between the players
Mattia Bellucci1666.2hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Elias Ymer3.57Market odds
Mattia Bellucci1.25Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Elias Ymer recent form

  1. L(8) Mattia Bellucci [ITA] d. (Alt) Ymer12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R326-2 6-1
  2. L(5) Mattia Bellucci [ITA] d. Ymer07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q14-6 7-5 7-6(3)
  3. L(6) Alexis Galarneau [CAN] d. Ymer23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · Q17-5 6-4
  4. LMarat Sharipov [RUS] d. (7) Ymer14-Sep-2026 · Guangzhou Huangpu CH · Hard · QF7-6(4) 6-3
  5. W(7) Ymer d. Luca Castelnuovo [SUI]14-Sep-2026 · Guangzhou Huangpu CH · Hard · R167-6(6) 6-4
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Mattia Bellucci recent form

  1. –(8) Bellucci vs Alexander Shevchenko [KAZ]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · QF—
  2. W(8) Bellucci d. (Q) Luka Pavlovic [FRA]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R166-4 6-4
  3. W(8) Bellucci d. (Alt) Elias Ymer [SWE]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R326-2 6-1
  4. L(WC) Yi Zhou [CHN] d. (Q) Bellucci07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-4 3-6 7-6(4)
  5. W(5) Bellucci d. (19) Alexandre Muller [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q26-4 6-2
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci statistical comparison

Elias Ymer has a 29.4% win rate across 17 2026 matches. Mattia Bellucci has a 48.0% win rate across 50 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Elias Ymer is 1–4 and Mattia Bellucci is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Elias Ymer records 76.0% of service games held and 62.1% of service points won. Mattia Bellucci records 80.8% of service games held and 63.9% of service points won.

On return, Elias Ymer records 15.6% of return games broken and 34.6% of return points won. Mattia Bellucci records 20.0% of return games broken and 36.0% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 6.1% for Elias Ymer and 8.1% for Mattia Bellucci.

Mattia Bellucci holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 192.3 points. The rating baseline converts to 24.8% for Elias Ymer and 75.2% for Mattia Bellucci before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Mattia Bellucci enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (80.8% versus 76.0%). Mattia Bellucci has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (20.0% versus 15.6%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.