Olbia · HARD

Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren prediction

13 October 2026 · 15:30

Luca Nardi — Flashscore photo

Luca Nardi

ITA

Age 23

Overall Elo
1560.0
Hard Elo
1550.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
August Holmgren — Flashscore photo

August Holmgren

DEN

Age 28

Overall Elo
1520.0
Hard Elo
1477.8
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren prediction, H2H and odds

Luca Nardi faces August Holmgren at Olbia on 13 October 2026 at 15:30. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.85 and 1.83.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren statistical comparison

Luca Nardi and August Holmgren are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD12–13Luca Nardi
RECENT FORM2–2Luca Nardi · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM2–3August Holmgren · last 5
2026 RECORD22–24August Holmgren
Luca Nardi1550.4hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP72.6between the players
August Holmgren1477.8hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Luca Nardi1.85Market odds
August Holmgren1.83Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Luca Nardi recent form

  1. –Nardi vs (4) Michael Mmoh [USA]12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · QF—
  2. WNardi d. (WC) Lorenzo Carboni [ITA]12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · R166-4 6-1
  3. WNardi d. August Holmgren [DEN]12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · R324-6 6-4 6-4
  4. L(5) Pablo Llamas Ruiz [ESP] d. (Alt) Nardi05-Oct-2026 · Villena CH · Hard · R326-1 7-6(5)
  5. LFederico Cina [ITA] d. Nardi31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · Q16-4 3-0 RET
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

August Holmgren recent form

  1. LLuca Nardi [ITA] d. Holmgren12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · R324-6 6-4 6-4
  2. L(4) Pedro Martinez [ESP] d. Holmgren05-Oct-2026 · Villena CH · Hard · R322-6 7-6(1) 7-5
  3. L(8) Henrique Rocha [POR] d. Holmgren28-Sep-2026 · Porto Monte Aventino CH · Hard · QF6-3 7-6(7)
  4. WHolmgren d. Andrea Guerrieri [ITA]28-Sep-2026 · Porto Monte Aventino CH · Hard · R167-5 6-1
  5. WHolmgren d. (1) Benjamin Bonzi [FRA]28-Sep-2026 · Porto Monte Aventino CH · Hard · R326-3 6-4
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren statistical comparison

Luca Nardi has a 48.0% win rate across 25 2026 matches. August Holmgren has a 47.8% win rate across 46 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Luca Nardi is 2–2 and August Holmgren is 2–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Luca Nardi records 77.5% of service games held and 62.2% of service points won. August Holmgren records 82.1% of service games held and 64.0% of service points won.

On return, Luca Nardi records 26.1% of return games broken and 39.2% of return points won. August Holmgren records 17.1% of return games broken and 34.7% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 4.5% for Luca Nardi and 9.2% for August Holmgren.

Luca Nardi holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 72.6 points. The rating baseline converts to 60.3% for Luca Nardi and 39.7% for August Holmgren before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

August Holmgren enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (82.1% versus 77.5%). Luca Nardi has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (26.1% versus 17.1%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.